AWAKENGUARDIAN football tips and picks

27 MARZO

2011-03-26T12:52:00.001+01:00

14:00 - Italia

TRIESTINA - FROSINONE - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,80 188BET

"Tra infortunati e squalificati, Campilongo deve rinunciare a 6 titolari. Convocati 2 Primavera. Acciaccati Frison, Cesaretti e Di Tacchio . Ma recuperano. In difesa rientra Guidi" (Gazzetta dello Sport)

Line-ip problems for homeside missing 6 first regulars. Despite not so brillant recent run, Triestina could take a positive result, just having get draw in alst 2 round against good side like Varese and Reggina.

ISOLA LIRI - LATINA - 2 @ 1,80 BETCLIC

Simply too much technical difference between these sides

26 MARZO

2011-03-25T20:52:00.002+01:00

16:00 - Inghilterra

BARROW - BATH CITY - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,82 PINNACLE - LOST

Barrow and Bath have very similar trend in last 10 league matches, but homeside are in very good shape

"Barrow joint managers Dave Bayliss and Darren Sheridan are likely to stick with the same side after a four-game winning streak.
Midfielder James Owen (hernia) is back in training but is not fit to play."

While hosts lose some of their strenght
Bath top-scorer Kaid Mohammed, who refused a place on the bench last Saturday, has now left for Blue Square Bet Premier rivals AFC Wimbledon.
Lewis Hogg (pelvis), Adie Harris (hamstring) and Daniel Webb (fractured cheekbone) are all sidelined.

And also hosts lost all 3 last away matches. Lat mutual match on Bath home ended 1-1. said all that I think that an asian covering line for homeside is a pretty bet

16:00 - Scozia

BERWICK - EAST STIRLING - 1 @ 1,70 UNIBET - LOST

There are almost 20 points of difference between these sides, and just a couple of weeks ago Berwick won last mutual matches 3-0. Said all that, it could be enough to pick Berwick. But to give strenght and confidence to my pick i say that Richardson (def - 21), Donaldson (mid - 23), Kelly (mid - 12), Kennedy and Weaver (mid - 23+1 goal) are all out for hosts, however Walker (def - 17+1 goal) is recovered. Homeside recover Mcleod (def - 21+2) and Gordon (att - 24+1 goal), but Smith (def - 19), Mclaren (att - 15) and O' Reilly (att - 21+6) are out. at last Berwick strong favourite here.

25 MARZO

2011-03-24T21:21:00.001+01:00

01:00 - Uruguay

EL TANQUE SISLEY - PENAROL - 2 (AH -0,75) @ 1,68 10BET + WON

Penarol is stronf favourite here, and need a win to recover touch with first positions and also cancel shocking defeat at Quito (5-0) in last Libertadores round. A strong line-up possible will tak the field apart Valdez injured. Homesides are a poor side and have 4 defeats in last 5 matches played, and alos lost strenght during championship break

"El plantel se armó de un día para el otro, con algunos jugadores del club (los menos) y un montón de futbolistas libres que se sumaron a última hora bajo las órdenes de Tabaré Silva, un entrenador joven, que hacía sus primeras armas en la divisional de privilegio".

So there a clear difference between this rosters, and at last Penarol could take 3 points tonight.

24 MARZO

2011-03-23T19:38:00.001+01:00

02:45 - Ecuador

DEPORTIVO CUENCA - LED QUITO - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 2,10 BET365 - LOST

"...El argentino Ezequiel González se recuperó de sus molestias físicas y estará en el once estelar. Además Ulises de la Cruz actuará como defensor para reemplazar a Jorge Guagua y Walter Calderón será el único delantero...Además se confirmó que los reemplazantes de Alexander Domínguez y Jorge Guagua (convocados a la selección)..sancionado Hernán Barcos, quien deberá cumplir tres partidos de suspensión.
..
at least 5 first-regulars missing or 6 if Gonzalez will be not recovered in time. Deportivo Cuenca have no line-up concern, and having a very good run since beginning of this phace of local championship (4-5-0 goals 11/7) could take a positive result against LDU tonight.

22 MARZO

2011-03-22T20:30:00.001+01:00

20:45 - Scozia

MONTROSE - EAST STIRLING - OVER 2,5 @ 1,82 CANBET - LOST

"He has had to discount Tweed from the playing squad, along with his central defensive partner Alan Campbell, who is suspended."
Homeside forced to reshuffle defensive pack, and both sides seasonal goals stats help me to pick an over 2,5 : Montrose (21/23 in 14 matches at home), East Stirling (12/27 away ), and just in last 4 matches hosts conceded 15 goals showing a poor defence level. Topscorer Maguire however in back in contention. Last 2 seasonal matches ended with an over results, and to me over is a natural choice for this match.

18 MARZO

2011-03-17T23:24:00.003+01:00

20:00 - Francia

AMIENS - CRETEIL - 1 @ 1,70 INTERWETTEN + WON

Once again I trust in Amiens actual value: best home performances (12-2-0 goals 27/7) , best recent running (9-1-0 in last 10 matches played) and they've just beated Creteil in last mutual match played in October (1-3). And once again odds market is moving towards Amiens with odds aroud 1,55 on major bookmakers. Interwette still having a good price to take, so I try.

17:45 - Polonia

ARKA - ZAGLEBIE LUBIN - 2 (AH +0,25) @ 1,81 PINNACLE + HALF WON

Zaglebie changed coach in last weeks and last victory against Polonia Varsavia was a good shock in searching of the right way to recover self-confidence and ambitions. Market is moving toward hosts, and homeside are showing a very poor run with last 6 matches with no win and 7 goals scored in last 10 matches. And tomorrow best scorers and important players like Labukas and Noll are out of contention

"Bez dwóch najlepszych strzelców, Tadasa Labukasa i Emila Nolla, zagrają w piątek w Gdyni z Zagłębiem Lubin piłkarze Arki".

So I choose an asian line favouring Lubin.

20 MARZO

2011-03-17T21:26:00.002+01:00

15:00 - Repubblica Ceca

SLOVAN VARNSDORF - VIKTORIA ZIZKOV - 1X @ 1,73 SPORTINGBET + WON

Something is moving on the odds front in 1 hour before beginning of the match in homeside favour, however beeing a strong side at home in this season (4-3-1 goals 10/4). On this point of view Sportingbet give a good price on double-chance.

14:30 - Italia

VERONA - SPEZIA - 1 @ 1,75 MYBET + WON

Verona seem to be on the road to recover positions in the table and fight for promotion after 3 winning matches in last 4. Spezia have several line-up concerns:

"Il problema è serio. Con Cesarini e Colombo out, lo Spezia può permettersi anche il mal di schiena di Musetti? La risposta è no, la realtà è però questa e il rischio è che si possa andare a Verona con un attacco assolutamente inedito ...Poi ci sono i due terzini Enow e Pedrelli, certamente indisponibili" (Tuttolegapro)

Odds are slowly falling actually so Verona could have the right chance to get other important 3 points.

17 MARZO

2011-03-17T15:09:00.001+01:00

21:00 - Copa Libertadores

LEON DE HUANACO - GREMIO - 1 (AH +0,5) @ 2,00 CANBET + WON

Homeisde should take a certain advantage on playing on high altitude and also on some line-up problems in Brasilian side. In this case odds for "1X" are very tasteful.

16 MARZO

2011-03-16T18:27:00.001+01:00

20:45 - Champion's League

CHELSEA - COPENHAGEN - OVER 2,5 @ 1,70 INTERWETTEN - LOST

Hosts wil be forced to attack to try to revert first round result :

Solbakken vowed that his team would attack the Blues.

"It is stupid to go into it defensive when you're behind 2-0," he said. (BBC)

But important defenders Antonsson and Pospech are out of contention.

Chelsea have the potential to score more goals as in the first round, and this time could be the right chance for Torres to score its first goal for blues

"Chelsea striker Fernando Torres, who has yet to score for the club since making a £50m move from Liverpool in January, said his dream was for the Blues to do the Champions League and Premier League double this season. " (BBC).

So an over 2,5 should be a good bet to try

15 MARZO

2011-03-15T18:12:00.001+01:00

20:45 - Inghilterra

SCUNTHORPE - PRESTON - 2 DNB @ 1,83 SPORTINGBET + WON

After 15 consecutives matches with no win, tonight could be the right time to come back to victory or to take a point at least for Preston. Last weeks deserved good results against Nottingham, Qpr and Norwich, and some players could be recoverd

"Preston expect Barry Nicholson, Iain Turner and David Gray to all be passed fit to play.

They missed last week's defeat against Leeds United through injury." (BBC)

Homesides just flying low and seems to be weak in last period, tonight line-up concerns will go on

On-loan Chelsea left-back Ben Gordon (hamstring) is Scunthorpe's latest doubt, while Sam Togwell has a similar problem and faces a fitness test.

Michael O'Connor could make his return from a knee injury, but Cliff Byrne (back), Joe Murphy (ankle) and Garry Thompson (groin) are still struggling.

I think (and hope) that a DNB for Preston is pretty good bet.

14 MARZO

2011-03-14T18:59:00.001+01:00

19:00 - Germania

MAINZ (Am) - EINTRACHT TRIER - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,85 BET365 - LOST

Odds market movements evaluations

12 MARZO

2011-03-12T12:47:00.002+01:00

20:00 - Francia

ALFORTVILLE - AMIENS - 2 @ 2,00 WILLIAM HILL + WON

Recent stats running , different shape of forms, deep difference in the table and at last odds market on Amiens direction actually.

14:00 - Germania

SONNENHOF GROSSASPACH - WEHEN II - 1 @ 2,00 STANJAMES - LOST

Valuable pick based on insiders considerations and odds market movements

13 MARZO

2011-03-11T19:52:00.004+01:00

18:00 - Peru'

COBRESOL - SPORT BOYS - 1 @ 1,70 INTERWETTEN - LOST

Homeside are unbeaten since beginning of the new season but stlll waiting for for first home victory. The chance is good tonight cause contender is at hand

"Dudo que gane el Boys alla, ellos
tienen delanteros muy rapidos y esa es la debilidad de la defensa del Boys, es
fuerte en juego aereo, pero debil en pelota al piso; pero nunca se sabe"

apart good shape of homeside, defence is weak point in Sport, and homeside could take advantage of this.

13:00 - Azerbaijan

FK BAKU - NEFTCI BAKU - 2 @ 2,05 SPORTINGBET + WON

Valuable odds line

14:30 - Italia

CAVESE - BARLETTA - 2 @ 2,24 BETFAIR INTERRUPTED/VOID

Very heavy drop towards Barletta, almost all books blocked the game actually. On Betfair good chance now to take a good price.

11 MARZO

2011-03-10T19:42:00.001+01:00

19:00 - Francia

GAP - GUINGAMP - 2 DNB @ 1,70 188BET VOID

Valuable DNB odds line

09 MARZO

2011-03-09T18:45:00.001+01:00

19:00 - Germania

WILHELMSHAVEN - HOLSTEIN KIEL - 2 (AH -0,25) @ 1,83 BET365 - HALF LOST

Pick on odds market evaluations.

10 MARZO

2011-03-07T21:47:00.003+01:00

19:00 - Islanda

AKRANES - SELFOSS - 1 @ 1,70 MYBET - LOST

Pick on odds market evaluations

01:45 - Copa Libertadores

GUARANI - ESTUDIANTES - 2 @ 2,00 INTERWETTEN + WON

Odds market movements justify the class difference between this sides. Estudiantes find a great boost in last week-end beating Gimnasia in La Plata derby, and surely willdo possible not to repeat the last "away mess" against Cruzeiro. However they' re remaining one of the strong favourite to win Libertadores. Veron is still out, Fernandez will miss but experienced Lopez will replace him. Guarani is showing a poor level in last weeks and seems to miss means to pass through group stages. Fabio Escobar is out. So at last Estudiantes have good chance to win this match.

07 MARZO

2011-03-07T18:56:00.001+01:00

19:00 - Spagna

TENERIFE - BARCELLONA II - 2 (AH +0,25) @ 2,05 STAN JAMES + WON

Barcelona is showing great performances and great forward playing (14 goals scored in last 4 matches), and today recover very important player like Nolito, while Romeu, Rafinha and Carmona remain long term missings. Tenerife is struggling to avoid relegation even if last weeks took some good results, however some key-players like captain Bertran and top-scorer Nino are not in perfect physical conditions, so I see "X2" a good perspective for this match.

06 MARZO

2011-03-06T11:53:00.003+01:00

17:00 - Spagna

LEVANTE - ESPANOL - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,83 STAN JAMES + WON

Levante si in good shape having lost only once (Real Madrid) in last 6 matches, opposite to Espanol that won once in last 6. A statistic curiosity say that Levante miss a win against hosts since 1964, and this could be the right time to break this stats.
As reported Espanol have some line-up concerns :

"El técnico perico, ante las numerosas bajas de su equipo, alinearía en defensa a Chica en la derecha, David García o Javi López en la izquierda y Amat y Galán en el eje. En la medular Duscher formaría junto a Verdú. En ataque, Luis García por la derecha, Callejón por la izquierda, Sergio García de enganche y Álvaro en punta."

Homeside miss Sergio and Larrea, while Juanfran and Caceiodo are doubtful. The asian covering line is pretty choice in my opinion.

12:00 - Georgia

SIOANI BOLNISI - WIT GEORGIA - 1 @ 2,40 TIPICO - LOST

Value bet considering last hours odds movements

05 MARZO

2011-03-05T12:32:00.005+01:00

23:30 - Uruguay

PENAROL - BELLA VISTA - 1 @ 1,83 STAN JAMES + WON

This could be the right match for Penarol to relaunch in local championship after great victory of mid-week on Libertadores against Godoy Cruz. They've just beated Bella Vista last September, and the recent balance (since 2002) of mutual matches at home is all for Penarol ( 6 wins in 6 matches). For homeside Nicolás Freitas, Darío Rodríguez and Matías Corujo, hosts miss Agustín Viana and Cristian Franco. Considering potential and means, odds are keeping decent value.

16:00 - Inghilterra

BATH CITY - KETTERING - OVER 2,5 @ 1,83 BET365 - LOST

Over should be a good bet just looking at recent goals running of both sides and also in some important missing in both defence departement (2 regulars defenders for homeside and 2 first goalkeepers for hosts, both banned)

04 MARZO

2011-03-01T18:35:00.003+01:00

20:00 - Francia

CLERMONT - ISTRES - 1 @ 2,00 INTERWETTEN + WON

Both sides in good shape but market is coming fast for homeside. Realistic tendence just looking at Clermont home running (5-5-2 goals 21/14) and mutual matches with Clermont unbeaten since season 2003/2004. About line-up, Fabre (gk) is in doubt for homeside. So odds are very good to give a try.

02:30 - Copa Libertadores

LDU QUITO - INDEPENDIENTE - 1 (AH -1) @ 1,85 10BET + WON

OVER 2,5 @ 2,00 188BET + WON

This double-selection will be my only pick until saturday. Market say that LDU is strong favourite, obviously homeside have a great advantage in playing on hiigh altitude at Quito.Over 2,5 should be another good and value bet.

27 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-27T10:42:00.003+01:00

11:00 - Georgia

DINAMO TBILISI - BAIA - OVER 2,5 @ 2,30 SPORTINGBET VOID

Value bet here

21:30 - Colombia

CUCUTA - TOLIMA - 1 @ 2,25 888SPORT - LOST

"Tolima jugará en el General Santander con una nómina mixta
El cuadro pijao tiene planeado usar varios jugadores que no son titulares habituales contra Cúcuta. "

Inside news confirm Tolima to rotate its squad, just having this Liga Postobon match just between 2 Libertafores matches.

NOTICE / AVVISO

2011-02-26T14:41:00.000+01:00

My job is taking much more and more time as weeks are passing by, so time for betting is turning to be less naturally, so I' m forced to be fast and using less words for picks. However this won't mean picks will be no good.. as I said and did in the past, I'll post and pick only matches where I am fully convinced and after dealing with my news and insiders sources, with trust 10/10 using stake law, and it doesn't matter if a pick is formed by 5.. 10 or 100 words.. it matter only that I completely trust in picks I post here.

GL
AWAKENGUARDIAN

26 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-25T21:17:00.005+01:00

01:30 - Peru

UNIVERSITARIO - SAM MARTIN - 1 @ 2,10 INTERWETTEN + WON

Hosts could pay fatigue of last days, just beeing involved in Libertadores and Peruvian League. Last news tell that some could take rest, and other like Arriola, Balbin and Fernandez surely will miss cause injured. Also Universitario have some missngs (Revoredo, Fano, Vitti) but playing at home could take advantage of hosts physical conditions. Universitatio won both home mutual matches of last season and is still waiting for first victory in the League, so i expect a win.

16:00 - Scozia

ELGIN - ARBROATH - 2 @ 2,00 888 SPORT - LOST

Just few days ago Arbroath beated Elgin (2-0), and it was second time after 3-5 of last August. Plus Elgin have line-ip concern for tomorrow match: Kazcan (def - 19), Frizzel (att - 21+4 goals) and Wilson (mid - 15+3 goals) are out, Inglis (def - 11+1 goal), Duff (def - 15) and Miller (att - 16+3 goals) are rated very doubtful. Arbroath recover Malcolm (def - 18+2 goals) and Wedderburn (def - 5+1 goal), but Rattray (def - 9+1 goal) is still missing. However Arbroath lost only 1 match of last 10 in league, and odds have a great value this time.

21:00 - Argentina

DEPORTIVO MERLO - ALDOSIVI - 2 DNB @ 1,70 SPORTINGBET + WON

As I did for the previous hungarian match, I follow market trend and useful considerations of insiders,

25 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-24T19:25:00.004+01:00

01:00 - Bolivia

BOLIVAR - NATIONAL POTOSI - OVER 2,5 @ 1,80 BET365 - LOST

High probabilities to see an over 2,5 match. Bolivar is coming from 3 consecutives home under 2,5 results even if having a good forward potential, and Nacional Potosi is the right contender to score more than 1 goal, cause this last one have one of the most attacking tattic style of the league, but still finding difficoult to set a good defensive balance. Homeside are clear favourite as market say, but over 2,5 have decent odds for a try.

23:10 - Argentina

OLIMPO - GODOY CRUZ - 1 @ 1,90 INTERWETTEN - LOST

Godoy Cruz will face Olimpo with only 3 first regulars and a team full of reserves in order to give rest to players very busy in last days between Copa Libertadores and local championship. Somo other important matches are near to come so a turn over is due. Olimpo is running great with 2 consecutive winning match in the beginning of Clausura. They have Domingues (def - 2) and Cobo (mid - 20) in doubt, but Bareiro (att - 19+4 goals) is in contention again after disqualification.

24 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-23T23:10:00.005+01:00

19:00 - Ungheria

FERENCVAROS - KECSKEMET - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,74 PINNACLE + HALF WON

Just few words about this pick. I followed the last hours market and some insider considerations (not verified att all however) and trend is all for homeside

23:30 - Brasile

CORITIBA - YPIRANGA - OVER 3 @ 1,95 BET365 - LOST

Simply Coritiba is a better side, had won first round (0-1) and hopefully is going to approach a match with a feast of goals. Hosts conceded 14 goals in last 5 matches played, and tonight will miss 2 defenders (Emerson, Vitor Hugo), first choice goalkeeper (Bruno Grassi) and an important forward (Cleiton). No particular line-up problems for Coritiba.

01:00 - Bolivia

REAL POTOSI - BLOOMING - 1 @ 1,80 UNIBET + WON

Real Potosi changed coach in last days, and this could be the right shock for an underperforming side, surely able to climb table. Last round they took advantage away on The Strongest field, but having a player banned in first 15 minutes, they went down and loose 2-1. Homeside miss Alvares (att - 2) and Ycerrotte (att -2), while hosts miss 2 first regulars defenders Zabala (def - 3) and Maldonado (def - 5). Also odss market is moving fast for Potosi, so I think that this could be the right time to come back to victory.

23 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-23T18:45:00.001+01:00

21:30 - Colombia

BARANQUILLA - UNION MAGDALENA - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 2,13 12BET - LOST

Both teams are struggling in the low positions of Torneo Postobon, but could face this Copa Postobon match with opposite spirit. Last news say that hosts will play with a "mixed" team in order to give a chance to some second lines players and to concentrate forces on Torneo Postobon. Instead of Baranquilla, putting on the field a strong team, with one line-up change: first cap for new signing Carmona in the midfield. So an asian line at 0,25 for homeside seems to have a very good price.

22 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-21T19:05:00.003+01:00

20:45 - Inghilterra

BOURNEMOUTH - SHEFFIELD WED - 1 @ 1,93 PINNACLE - LOST

I like very very much this odds price. Bournemouth is one of the best sides of the league and have best home running (11-3-2 goals 37/ 14 goals). Sheffield have a very poor recent run, with 9 consecutives league matches with no win and a very very bad defence performance with 28 goals conceded in last 10 matches. However some first regulars still missing: Buxton (def - 20+1 goal), Coke (mid - 20+3 goals) and Otsemobor (def 6). Homeside have no particular concerns woth Williamson (mid - 2) out, and Molesley (mid) with Lovell long-term missings. Good chance to see Bournemouth catching 3 points in my opinion

HISTON - CAMBRIDGE - 1 DNB @ 2,00 BET365 - LOST

Histon improved performance and self-confidence recently with such good results, and it seems having means to fight until the end of the season to avoid relegation. On the other side Cambridge is living a deep crysis with 7 matches lost of last 8. Probably mainly problems come from too many unexperienced youngster footballers playing in the squad. Bad news come from captain Coulson (def - 33+4 goals), McAuley (def - 26), Thorpe (def - 2) and Miller (mid - 5) missings, while Russell (mid - 29+5 goals) is in doubt. Histon have full squad and a DNB seem to have a great value this time.

20:45 - Scozia

AIRDRIE - FORFAR - 2 DNB @ 1,70 SPORTINGBET - LOST

This sides are living opposite shape form. Airdrie won one of 7 matches played in championship since beginning of 2011, while Forfar is unbeaten since beginning of October 2010. Tomorrow will be second cosecutive mid-week match for homeside, and in the Scotland Second Division this could have a certain weight. Turn-over options are not so great due to missings of a couple of first regulars midfielders (Devlin-mid -17 and Bain -mid - 19+1 goal) and Hill (def - 5) along with McKeown (def - 5) also out. Forfar could have some changes in starting line-up, but there are no line-up problems, and squad get rested this week-end, so a DNB for Forfar could be a good bet.

20 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-18T20:48:00.004+01:00

00:00 - Messico

CRUZ AZUL - ATLAS - 1 @ 1,70 INTERWETTEN + WON

Odds on limit, but I trust in Cruz Azul to recover 3 points after losing lost round away against Tigres. Homeside still having concern on some players like Ponce (def - 4 doubtful), Gutierrez (mid - 9) and Droguett (att - 5+2 goals), but have means to beat Atlas, This last one also have concern about physical conditions of some important players like Moreno (att - 21+9 goals / doubtful), Chavez (mid - 12 / out), Vidrio (def - 15+1 goal / out) and Gonzalez Tahuilan (def - 3 / out). Atlas is coming from 3 consecutives matches with no win, and bad financial situation seem to involve players motivations. The club have debts and this week circulated voices of changing lead board at the end of the season.At last stats says that Cruz Azul won all last 5 mutual matches between 2008 and 2010. I see clear home win, hopefully.

15:00 - Italia

FIORENTINA - SAMPDORIA - OVER 2,25 @ 2,15 BET365 - LOST

I see an huge value on these odds for over 2,25. Fiorentina is improving in well playing, and in last 3 matches was able to score 7 goals, but conceding 4. In Frey (gk-9) and Koldrup (def - 14) missings, defence loose a bit of self-confidence. Sampdoria is living a very bad period, coach Di Carlo is near to be sacked, and team is showing great problems. As said before Cassano and Pazzini were sold, Pozzi (att - 14+3 goals) is still out along with Semioli (mid - 7). But new signings Maccarone and Macheda have skills to give problems to Fiorentina, this last one attacker is still finding way to goal since 8 matches. However greatest problems come from defence balance. In these last weeks some key-players get injured, amd tomorrow this effect will not dissapear with Lucchini (def - 20) and Zauri (def - 17) rated in not best conditions and likely to miss. At last I can predict a match with 2 or more goals.

19 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-18T19:17:00.002+01:00

16:00 - Scozia

EAST FIFE - BRECHIN - 2 @ 2,10 PINNACLE - LOST

Brechin last running is quite impressive: thet've lost only 1 match or last 10 played, and agasinst the (probably) best side of the league, Livingston. They have also best away running of the league (5-5-1 goals 21/11) and in last 10 matches they are travelling on 2 goals scored per match. For next match important players like McLauchlan (def - 16+1 goal) and McAllister (att - 16+1 goal) are back again after disqualification; King (att -8+1 goal) and McLean (def - 18+1 goal) are out while Moyes (def - 17+1 goal) is in doubt. East Fife will be forced to give a chance to a couple of unexeperienced youngsters due to missings of Sloan (att - 19+7 goals), McCulloch (def - 3), Hislop (att - 19+2 goals) and Campbell (def - 11). This midweek East Fife lost at home against poor Dumbarton (1-3), while Brechin get rest, and looking also at last mutual match on East Fife home ground (1-3), I see Brechin clear favourite.

23:10 - Argentina

ARGENTINOS - INDEPENDIENTE - 2 DNB @ 2,30 WILLIAM HILL VOID

Both teams will play in Copa Libertadores next week, and both miissed to win since beginning of Clausura, But homeside will miss many players : Blandi (att - 16+3 goals), Pistone (def - 1), Mercier (mid - 19+ 1 goal), Vargas (att - 17+4 goals), Hernandez (att - 10+2 goals), Escudero (def - 18) and Basualdo (mid - 13). They've also played on last mid-week, while Independiete had a week to prepare at best to this match, having concern only of Mazzola (att) injury. New signing Castillo could be in, while experienced Tuzzio (def - 12) and Fredes (mid - 8) should be recalled on first team regulars to face Argentinos. To me a DNB for Independiente is a good bet.

17 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-16T19:25:00.001+01:00

21:05 - Europa League

BASILEA - SPARTAK MOSCA - 1 @ 2,20 INTERWETTEN - LOST

Odds are value here. Spartak miss to play an official match since beginning of 2011, while Basel still played 2 matches in local championship , both won. Also russian side will be forced to play without important players like Ari (att - 24+7 goals), Welliton (att - 15+19 goals)and Ibson (mid - 28+3 goals), while Pareha (def - 11) and Dikan (gk) are rated very doubtful and probably will not be risked. I have no news of line-up concern in homeside, however Stocker (mid - 16+4 goal) and Shakiri (mid - 18+1 goal) will be in contention again after past week international duties. In 5 international seasonal matches at home Basel won 3 and lost two, but with a goal difference against strong side like Bayern Munchen and Roma, so I see possible a win agasint russians tomorrow.

18 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-14T22:39:00.001+01:00

02:15 - Copa Libertadores

GODOY CRUZ - LDU QUITO - 1 @ 1,90 INTERWETTEN + WON

Godoy had an amazing start in Argentina Primera taking a record victory on Boca field (1-4) and playing great. Surely this will be a great boost for next coming Libertadores match against LDU. This last one began local league in not so good way , and this last days were lived with problems in trainings and injuries. For this reason Ldu played with an experimental defence in last round, and also was forced to play 60 minutes about in 10 men for a red card. Hower things won't change as they will get travel to Argentina: Araujo (def), Caicedo (def), Barcos (mid) are still out; Bolanos (att) and Gonzalez (mid) are not at best, and not able to be in contention at 100 % fittness. At this moment I have no particular news of line-up concern in Godoy, so I try this pick, also because Ecuador teams usually play their best football at home. Said all that it will be hard for Ldu to catch a positive results in my opinion.

15 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-14T19:37:00.002+01:00

20:45 - Scozia

CLYDE - BERWICK - 2 (AH -0,25) @ 1,97 PINNACLE - LOST

Both teams are struggling: Berwick have only 1 win in last 10 matches, Clyde won only 1 match in August. But hosts superiority seemed to be proven in 3 seasonal mutual matches played and 15 points of difference in table. Important facts are that 2 important players like Lithgow (def - 14+3 goals) and McCusker (att - 10+6 goals-topscorer) will miss along with experienced Miller (new signing). Berwick have Smith (def - 15) in doubt, so I choose an asian covering line.

LIVINGSTON - AIRDRIE - OVER 2,75 @ 1,85 BET365 - LOST

Yesterday I was tempted to take Livingston at 0,75 asian line, but I gave up for 2 reasons : odds are under my playble limit and so too low, second is that 3 experienced and important players for hosts like Eddie Forrest (def), Jamie Stevenson (mid) and Scott Gemmill (att) are rated doubtful until the beginning of the match. With these 3 players surely out , I'd taken probably and asian line at -1 for hmoside, but considering this situation, I think that better pick for this match is over 2,5 / 2,75. Livingston in in great shape having scored 13 goals in last 5 matches. And if we look to overall stats (Livingston 37/22 in 19 matches ; Airdrie 28/32 in 20) 2 or more goals are probably near to come. Another stats on mutual matches at Livingston home talk about 8 matches on 9 finished with an over 2,5 goals since 2009.At last Livingston miss Barr (def), but recover O' Byrne (def). McDonald (def) remain out.

13 FEBBRAIO "SECRET PICK"

2011-02-13T14:18:00.003+01:00

Posted news on 10 Feb in closed section of an italian forum where I usually write, saturday in the afternoon catched opening odds at Bet365 @ 2,00.. while in few hours dropped to 1,55 about... now at 14:20 of Sunday odds are around at 1,40/1,45

15:00 - Malta

QORMI - MARSAXLOKK - 1 @ 2,00 BET365 - LOST

In few words 4 players banned for hosts in last decisive match of first part of the season.. here is the screenshot of my pick

12 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-11T19:59:00.002+01:00

16:00 - Inghilterra

BARNSLEY - IPSWICH TOWN - 1 DNB @ 1,83 BET365 VOID

Both sides have a very similar trend considering last 10 league matches, Ipswich is probably a better side at its best conditions, but Barnsley was able to beat it away 1-3 in last November, and at home is a quite good team (8-4-3 goals 22/13). However is very important to say that Ipswich coach have many doubts on starting line-up for tomorrow match having been 10 players away with this mid-week national duty, and a part of them will came back this evening. Barnsley could take advantage from this situation, so I think picking a DNB colud be a good idea. On line-up news, homeside have doubts over Foster (def - 26), while Potter (def - 4) and McEveley (def - 11+1 goal) are still out.

18:00 - Africa

GABON - UGANDA - 1 @ 1,73 LADBROKES + WON

Market movements gave good signals for Gabon win, since odds fallen too much... for example at bet365, started @ 2,00 and now is @ 1,45, but some books have still decent prices around 1,65/1,70 as Bwin , Ladbrokes, Betclic or SPortingbet. About technical point of view I only know that Uganda is a very very poor side in Africa. Without any other news research, heavy drop of odds is enough to try this pick.

13 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-08T20:24:00.004+01:00

00:20 - Colombia

ONCE CALDAS - DEPORTIVO CALI - 1 @ 1,75 INTERWETTEN + WON

This odds price keep a good value in my opinion, Once Caldas is a better side, and is finding first victory in league. On the other side Cali lost at home its first game of the season against Cucuta, and financial problems not allow players to play free of concern. Good chance to see Once Caldas win this match.

15:00 - Italia

BRESCIA - LAZIO - 1 (AH +0,25) @ 1,88 PINNACLE - LOST

Lazio need rest as seen in last match against Chievo. This training week began in a not so good way: Floccari (att- 19+6 goals) and Rocchi (att - 13+1 goal) are still recovering from injury, Radu (def - 21) should be out of contention for sunday, Stendardo (def - 6) have flu, Diakite (def - 8) is in phisiotheraphy. Del Nero, Meghni and Garrido are still out; but most important notice is that some key-players in need of rest will play probably most part of own matches out with their country in international mid-week round. These are Kozak (att - 11+ 4 goals), Lichtsteiner (def - 22), Mauri (mid - 22+4 goals) and Hernanes (mid - 23+ 6 goals). On the other side Brescia is coming back to life with Coach iachini return and with a brillant victory at home against Bari. Self-confidence should be raised high after difficoult last weeks, and next round Iachini should be able to put in the filed the same winning side of last round, apart new signing Zanetti (mid - 2) rated doubtful. Brescia have players especially forward (Diamanti, Eder, Caracciolo..), to give a lot of problems to Coach Reja side.Said that I don't see Brescia to loose this match.

PISA - COSENZA - 1 @ 1,85 BET-AT-HOME - LOST

Odds lost value since I've been monitoring Cosenza situation since 2/3 days ago ( i saw a very good 2,10 at opening odds on Bet365).. It's my own fault, but this time I thought too much on elements of evaluation. However picking Pisa have still a decent price so I try, cause Cosenza situation si coming to deep frustration. After changing at all main board leading and club organization, it seems to be a very hard battle to recover serenity. In next days will come another poinst deductions for financial and wages issue, and future of this club is unknown at this moment. This situation is affecting results as seen in last matches, with 3 consecutives heavy defeats a no victory since beginning of 2011. Players should find difficoult to recovers motivations, and someone is still thinking to next season, like Biancolino (att - 18+5), near to leave Cosenza. On opposite Pisa in this last week is trying to build strong motivations, to win this vital match in battle for relegation. In this point of view main board take down stadium ticket price , and fet free entrance for students to create a great atmosphere and call the city of Pisa to help its players. Homeside will miss Amoroso (mid -8) while Passiglia (mid - 13+1 goal) is in doubt. Said that I think that could be the right round for Pisa to catch 3 poinst.

8 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-07T19:42:00.005+01:00

20:45 - Inghilterra

BURY - STEVENAGE - 1 (AH - 0,25) @ 1,93 PINNACLE + WON

Stevenage could pay tour de force of last weeks . Tomorrow they will play sixth match in 17 days, and probably hosts coach could make changes to its starting line-up. However Murphy (mid) is out and Byrom (mid - 4) is doubtful. Bury rested last week-end and is improving form unbeaten in last 4 championship matches and now in full battle for play-off positions. Bury have no line-up concern. I like odds of asian line at 1/4 very much, high in my opinion, still influenced from brillant FA cup matches played recentrly by Stevenage. Hopeffully it's time for this last one to take a breath and stop their run tomorrow.

22:00 - Costa Rica

BARRIO MEXICO - PUNTARENAS - 2 (AH +0,25) @ 1,90 BET365 - LOST

Last news talk about a difficoult situation in homeside with players injured, disqualifications and deep financial problems. They've lost 3 of last 4 matches while Puntarenas is in good shape with 2 consecutives winning matches, Odds are falling fast for hosts, so I try an asian line at 0,25.

6 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-06T12:39:00.005+01:00

22:00 - Costa Rica

BRUJAS - SAPRISSA - 2 (AH -0,25) @ 1,70 BET365 + WON

Reading on some "insiders" news, Brujas is an unexperienced team, and will face a stronger side like Saprissa with a line-up delapted (as this insider say). Hower odds are dropping fast. Homeside miss a victory in last four matches so Saprissa is favourite. For this match i choose a covering line at 1/4 having no more news in both sides, but only general talking about Brujas situation.

14:30 - Italia

SPAL - LUMEZZANE - 2 (AH +0,5) @ 2,21 PINNACLE + WON

Spal had training problems during this last week with some important players not in best conditions for different reasoning: Colomba (mid - 8), Locatelli (att - 4) and Fofana (att - 16+4 goals) are out, while Migliorini (mid - 16+3 goals), Smit (mid - 15+4 goals) and top-scorer Cipriani (att - 19+12 goals) are rated very dobtful, and however hadn't got perfect physical conditions. Lumezzane have no particular line-up concern and can count on new signings Volpato and Vencibenga. Talking about stats Lumezzane is a very good side away (4-4-2 goals 9/5) and been defeatd once in last 2 months (last round against Salernitana), and however some strong sides as Alessandria, Spezia and Verona were blocked by Lumezzane. Spezia is coming from 4 consecutive matches with no win, so I think that seeing at actual situation "X2" could be a good pick to try. (last mutual match in favour of Lumezzane / 1-0 at September)

5 FEBBRAIO

2011-02-04T18:47:00.013+01:00

13:00 - Albania

ELABASANI - TEUTA - 1 @ 1,80 EXPEKT + WON

Reasoning of this pick is to be found in this morning odds movements market: early odds opened at 2,30/2,50 about, and during last hours odds dropped towards 1,80/1,70. Now almost all books blocked the game, but Bet365 or Expekt still have odds playble. On technical point of view, homeside is a poor side standing last in the table, but Teuta is coming from 3 defeats in last 4 matches. Looking at odds movements "1" could be a strong possibility.

edit 21:00 / 05th Feb -- It seems that game is post-poned to tomorrow at the same hour it was supposed to be played today (13:00). In the mean time odds on bet 365 fallen to 1.53, 10bet @ 1.56

15:00 - Italia

ASCOLI - PIACENZA - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,96 BET365 +WON

Ascoli is not living a good moment on financial and main board point of view. 5 points were cancelled from actual table standings by Lega Italiana, but last week news say that President Benigni is ready to sell the club, and in next weeks Ascoli should have a new main board organization having 2 offers at least in these days. So optimism should be in the guiding line of next home match against Piacenza and this could be the right chance to come back to victory and beat a direct contender to avoid relegation. Good news for Ascoli is that Piacenza will have some important missings: Anaclerio (def - 16+3 goals), Zammuto (def - 19), Piccolo (att - 13+2 goals) and Mandorlini (mid - 9) are out, while Bianchi (mid - 21+2 goals) is rated not in its best physical conditions. Ascoli will miss Micolucci (def - 20+1 goal). Homeside just beated hosts away on September (2-4) and balance of previous mutual matches at Ascoli home is on this last one side (3 victories and 2 drawn). So asian line at 1/4 with partial coverage could be a good choice this time.

16:00 - Inghilterra

LEEDS - COVENTRY - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,91 PINNACLE + HALF WON

If we look at recent run of both side it seems to be a different class level. I just only say that Leeds was beated once in last 10 leagua matches, away by a strong side as Cardiff. While Coventry was beated in 6 of last 10 matches. Apart this Leed have another advantage in playing at home and with no particular line-up concern ( Watt /mid- 14+1 goal - is out). On the other side Coventry miss Carsley (mid - 15), Clingan (mid - 14), Turner (def - 14+4 goals), McPake (def - 12) and Cameron (def - 15). Si I expect a winning match for Leeds.

16:00 - Scozia

ELGIN - MONTROSE - 1 @ 1,84 PINNACLE + WON

First we can see an opposite trend between these sides: Elgin with 5-3-2 goals 17/12 and Montrose 2-3-5 goals 11/20 in last 10 league matches. All mutual matches of this season are all on Elgin part (0-1, 3-2) and Montrose have not a full force line-up to contend with tomorrow: Tweed (def - 3), Pope (def - 13), Crawford (def - 6), Milligan (mid - 9), Smith (mid-4 +1 goal) and Hegarty (mid - 16+1 goal) are out. Elgin miss Nicolson (mid - 15+1 goal) so homeside are clear favourite here to me.

STIRLING - RAITH - 2 (AH -1) @ 2,00 PINNACLE + WON

Recent Stirling goals stats are a mess: 6 consecutives league matches lost with 24 goals conceded ! Tomorrow thay will face league leaders Raith with many defenders missing: Busit (def - 15), Forsyth (def - 9+1 goal), Corrigan (def - 14) and Sirling (mid - 1) are all out. Raith is the best away team till now (4-5-0 goals 9/4) and have only Wales (att) out, so I think they can prevail with more goals difference hopefully.

2 FEBBRAIO

2011-01-31T23:37:00.003+01:00

Italia - 20:45

CESENA - CATANIA - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 2,10 BET365 - HALF LOST

First important consideration regards Catania physical conditions. New Coach Simeone declared that falling against Milan in second half was caused by not good physical conditions of its players, able to run and play not more than 60 minutes in this moment (in its opinion). Second consideration is about line-up concern still alive for away match against Cesena: Alvarez (def - 13), Potenza (def - 14), Biagianti (mid - 13), LIama (mid - 9) and Izco (mid - 15) are still out, Carboni (mid - 16) and Sciacca (mid - 3) are rated very doubtful , but Bellusci (def - 8) is recovred. Also a key-player as Mascara (att - 18+1 goal) was sold in this transfer market dead limit. So i think they'll have problems to catch point on Cesena field. This last one take a point on last minute playing against Lecce, a boost for difficoult table situation. Homeside miss Lauro (def - 17) and Colucci (mid - 20+1 goal), while Schelotto (mid - 17) and Nagatomo (def - 16) were sold, but transfer market took quality players as Rosina and Santon, and both have some possibilities to be in contention. However talking about overall situation, I don't like Catania in last period, and squad is having problems to find its own identities under Simeone coaching also becasue line-up problems going on since these last weeks. Last important notice is about odds. I found asian line at 1/4 for Cesena very good.

Brasile - 22:30

PONTE PRETA - SANTOS - OVER 2,75 @ 1,85 10BET + WON

At first sight I was tempted to back Santos, but coach Batista could make some change to its line-up in order do give rest to some players. Jonathan (def - 3), Auroca (mid) and Diogo (att) are out for sure. Ponte Preta have very long list of missing players :Tiago Luis (att - 4+1 goal), Joao Paulo (def - 5), Josimar (mid - 5), Amaral (def - 2), Guilherme (mid - 3), Marcio Diogo (mid - 3), Ricardo De Jesus (att - 3+1 goal), Lomba (gk), Wanderley (att - 2), Joao Vitor and Jhon. So looking at goals stats of first 5 matches played , with Santos 15/5 and Ponte Preta 5/5, and taking almost for granted presence of most dangerous Santos attackers at the moment , Keirrison and Maikon Leite, for tomorrow match, I think that tactical balances of both sides should be affected for "forced" line-up mixing.. a good perspective to see a goal feast in this point of view.

1 FEBBRAIO

2011-01-31T20:04:00.006+01:00

Inghilterra - 20:45

MIDDLESBROUGH - SCUNTHORPE - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,75 BET365 + WON

Middlesborugh probably is the most underperforming side of Championship. Actual position next to relegation zone is very very bad considering first seasonal ambitions of get back in Premier League. However deep injuries crysis of first part of the season is part of the past, and I think that little by little homeisde should recover positions and stay in a more safe position. There are skills and qualities to beat Scunthorpe, however having been undefeatd in last 5 championship match. Talking about Scunthorpe, beginning of 2001 was very bad with 14 goals conceded in 5 match.Adding to that some first regulars are still missing: Murphy (gk -22), Jones (def - 14+1 goal), Bryne (def - 21+2 goals), Canavan (def - 8), O' Connor (mid - 23+5 goals) and Thompson (mid - 12+1 goal) are all out. Odds are on limit for asian at 3/4 but I think that this time is reasonable to pick Middlesbrough.

Scozia - 20:45

QUEEN OF THE SOUTH - ROSS COUNTY - 1 (AH -0,5) @ 1,99 10BET VOID

Ross County situation is coming in trobule. They are missing a winning match since 7 games, and tomorrow they will be short again on numbers . In last round Miller (def - 16), Gardyne (att - 14+1 goal), Lawson (mid - 13) and McCormack (def - 16) were missing, and now Craig (att - 14+2 goals) is added to this list, meaning that Ross County will be forced to face this midweek match with few turn over options having palyed just few days ago. Queen of th South should show hopefully muc freshenss having played last match on 15 January, day when great away victory against Falkirk came (0-3). Considering line-up of this previous round, only Harris (def - 14) is out while Lilley (def- 13) is still out. A win for homeside could boost them towards promotion zones, so saying about that I think that Ross County could pay again in fatigue and in best line-up missing.

29 GENNAIO

2011-01-28T19:39:00.001+01:00

Italia - 15:00

VICENZA - GROSSETO - 2 (AH +0,5) @ 1,85 PINNACLE +WON

Most important news is that Vicenza have 4 defenders out for this match : Zanchi (def - 12), Tonucci (def -7), Minieri (def - 5) and Schiavi (def - 20+ 3 goals) and however recent results are not so goos with 3 last matches with no win. On the other side Grosseto is coming from 2 consecutive winning matches and have no known line-up problems at the moment. So I hope to see Grosseto catching a good result at Vicenza's home.

28 GENNAIO

2011-01-27T19:01:00.001+01:00

02:00 - Argentina

GODOY CRUZ - RACING - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,97 188BET + HALF WON

Simply last news talk about hosts taking the field with a reserves team, while Godoy need a victory with 2 goals difference at least to qualify on next rounds of Verano, so I think that an asian line at 3/4 for homeside is a quite good bet.

27 GENNAIO

2011-01-25T19:11:00.001+01:00

01:00 - Copa Libertadores

CORINTHIANS - TOLIMA - OVER 2,75 @ 1,90 188BET - LOST

A curious "statistical delay" talk about 8 consecutive under 2,5 goals result for homeside, and in my opinion next match against Tolima could be the right to turn back to an over 2,5 . Last news say that Corinthians will take the filed with a very offensive tattic build with 3 forwards. Obviously Brasilian side want to take best result possible to face return match in relative tranquillity. However Tolima is not so weak like odds could tell. Tolima have skilled players and is able to play well and moving fast, and could give some problems to Brasilian defence. So I think that this match should see hopefully 3 or more goals.

30 GENNAIO

2011-01-24T23:45:00.004+01:00

Malta - 14:00

TARXEN RAINBOWS - FLORIANA - 1 @ 2,00 BET365 + WON

Odds market movements inspired me to try this match. Opening odds on many books were 2,75 about, but this sunday morning all books blocked this game, apart Bet365 still having a good price at 2,00. Apart odds, this sides are in battle for second place in Malta championship, and Tarxien was able to beat Floriana away (0-2) in previous seasonal mutual match. Last important notice is that hosts miss 2 of their most skilfull players: Doffo (mid - 15) and Nwoke (att -3+6 goals), but Woods (mid - 14+6 goals) will be in after missing last 2 rounds. No news of line-up problems for homeside, so I try it.

Italia - 15:00

BOLOGNA - ROMA - 2 (AH -0,5) @ 2,00 BET365 VOID

Early bet here at good odds. Bologna will have to reset starting line-up due to several disqualification and also some injury missings: Moras (def - 8), Perez (mid - 14), Portanova (def - 17), Gimenez (att - 19+3 goals) and Ramirez (mid - 13+ 1 goal) are all out. And even if Bologna made a very good match against Lazio (3-1), I think it will be hard to beat Roma. This last one is recovering same self confidence of last season and fighting again in highest table zones. After last week, where derby against Lazio was won and with 3-0 against Cagliari in championship, moral got a great boost. However Bologna is leaving an heavy internal board chief crisis, with future unknown after President Zanetti leaved guidance. In few weeks it needs to be solved money payments, and this situation should affect players in medium-long term. Apart this Roma is a much better and skilled side and could win. Hosts lose Burdisso (def - 13+ 1 goal) , but recover Mexes (def - 15). Pizarro (mid - 9) is still missing and said all that I think that Roma could prevail this time.

25 GENNAIO

2011-01-24T20:26:00.003+01:00

Inghilterra - 20:45

NOTTINGHAM FOREST - BRISTOL CITY - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,70 188BET + HALF WON

I trust in homeside win, so I catch these odds even if thery are on my personal choice limit (1,70). Unbeated at home (7-6-0 goals 24/11) and defeatd once since November (against Leicester 1-0), Nottingham is flying toward highest zone of the table, and as said in previous picks, I consider them one of the strong side of Championship. I have no news of line-up problems. On the other side Bristol have doubts and missings: Ribeiro (def - 9) and Stead (att - 22+6 goals) are doubtful, Carey (def - 13), Nyatanga (def - 5), McAllister (def - 22+1 goal), Hunt (def - 7), Rose (mid - 17) and Skuse (mid - 21) are all out, And if we're considering that last season top-scorer Maynard is still recovering from an injury, this side appear weak to contrast Nottingham actual strenght and ambitions. Also recent results are not so good with 2 heavy defeats at home against Sheffield Wed and Middlesbrough (total 0-7) and a clear sheet draw against Crystal Palace.

Scozia - 20:45

ARBROATH - EAST STIRLINGSHIRE - 1 (AH -1) @ 1,81 PINNACLE - LOST

I think homeside have good chance to catch 3 points in this match. In previous mutual matches of this season they were able to beat East Stirlingshire twice and with more than 1 goal difference (1-3, 2-0). Arbroath is a side clear fighting to be promoted in Second Division, and beginning of the year was impressive with 9 goals scored and no conceded. Homeside have no line-up concerns apart forward Ross (att-5) leaving the squad. Hosts still carring physical problems in consequence of last Cup match: Richardson (def - 14), Donaldson (mid - 11), Hay (def - 14) and Maguire (att - 9+ 2 goals) are all doubtful, while Walker (def - 10+ 1 goals) is out.Last 2 matches were won but against weak squads (Clyde and Buckie Thistle) but at last it's seeming that nowadays there's a level class and experience difference between this sides.

22 GENNAIO

2011-01-21T19:43:00.009+01:00

India - 14:30

PUNE - CHURCHILL BROTHERS - 2 @ 2,00 BET365 + WON

This is a true value bet in my opinion. Churchill Brothers are Indian Champions of last season, and after 10 matches they're in battle for first position, however proving to be one of the best indian side. Even if they're missing topscorer Oklie (nigerian attackers / 15 goals scored), they have in Vincent (new zeland attacker / 3 goals) a good alternative forward. Churchiil strenght is proved by recent goal scoring stats: 15 goals scored in last 4 match, even if match against Salgaocar was lost (4-3). But Pune is weak side with no win in 2011 (4 matches and 3 cosnecutives defeats in row). As reported by an insider, homeside appeared tired yet in first half of la st match lost at home against Hindustan Aero, adding to the fact that CHurchill Brothers will have one more day of rest having played on 18th Jan, while Pune played the day after. So having choosing this point of view odds on 2,00 are very very good.

Inghilterra - 16:00

LEICESTER - MILLWALL - OVER 2,5 @ 2,07 188BET + WON

Odds for over 2,5 need to be tried in my opinion: even if Millwall had conceded only 4 goals in last 10 championship match, tomorrow will face Leicester with a defence delapted: Robinson (def - 22+1 goal), Shittu (def - 9), Craig (def - 9), Ward (def - 20+1 goal) and Mkandawire (def - 18+1 goal) are all out, Trotter (mid - 18+4 goals) is doubtful while McQuoid (mid - 4) is out. Leicester have received boost by return of Yakubu (att) and Vassell (att - 12+3 goals) while Gallagher (att - 23+6 goals) should be available even if is rated doubtful. At last Leicester have a good scoring line at home (22/13 in 13 matches) and tending to concede a goal at least per match.So they could also win, but i like much more odds ofr over seen at line-up problems in defence for hosts.

23 GENNAIO

2011-01-19T21:54:00.005+01:00

Italia - 14:30

CAVESE - GELA - 1 (HALF TIME) @ 2,20 BWIN - LOST

Odds has totally fallen so I try an half time pick, hopefully to be the right choice for this match. Today news say that Gela situation is a really mess. Board chief and coach leaved, and players are free to find another squad. So it's impossible to say which line-up will take the field. Surely Coach of youngster squad will be on the bench. On the other side Cavese can take profit form this situation even if standing at last place in table. However in last 5 home match they were able to beat Viareggio, Lucchese and Andria, and been defeatd by stronger side as Nocerina and Atletico Roma. For this match Bacchiocchi (mid - 18) and Sirignano (def - 15) are back from disqualification, new signing Conti (mid) is available while D'Amico (mid-2) is out. In this situation homesides are clear favourite. Bwin is only bookmaker giving odds on this match havin yet been cancelled from other books.

TARANTO - COSENZA - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,80 BET365 + WON

Both sides have same position in Lega Pro /B table (27 points) ando both could fight for play-off zone, but in pratically Cosenza is living a very bad situation. Economic problems force board chief to find fresh money by selling players: experienced Raimondi (def- 17) was sold in this January transfer market, and recent news talk about an ammount of players near to be sold: De Rose (mid - 20+2 goals), Biancolino (att - 16+5 goals), Mazzeo (att - 19+3 goals), Fanucci (mid - 10), Roselli (mid - 17) and Giacomini (mid - 14 - actually injured), while Wagner (def - 11) contract expired. Also last coach leave, so technical and financial confusion is leading atmosphere in Cosenza in these days. On the other side Taranto is trying to find new forces trough transfer market , Girardi , Russo and Rantler were bought, but only the first one is able to play sunday. Said about all that I think that Taranto could prevail on Cosenza, and asian line at 1/4 is a good choice for me.

Messico - 19:00

TOLUCA - JAGUARES - 1 @ 2,00 INTERWETTEN + WON

Next week Copa Libertadores play-off will begin, and Coach Cruz of Jaguares said that South American cup qualification is priority even if they will try to give an eye to local champioship. However match against Alianza Lima will be hystorical, so it's natural to think that mental and physical energies will all be saved for this crucial match in Peru. But this is not the only reason why I pick Toluca for this next Mexican League match. On a statistical point of view 6 consecutives match with no win are enough for this side, even considering w-15/ d-5 / l -2 home stats of 2010. Toluca is clearly underperforming, and next week-end could be a good chance to break running negative streak, and starting following statistical trend of last year.

18 GENNAIO

2011-01-17T20:49:00.003+01:00

Italia - 21:00

NAPOLI - BOLOGNA - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,76 188BET + HALF WON

Reading at last news , Napoli should be very motivated to win this match . It's one match round based on "English" style. The winning squad will face Inter, and Napoli hopefully will have possibility to face European Champion again at home at the end of January, and dreaming of Semi-finals. Stadium should have great attendance cause 1 Euro entrance price, and even if Coach Mazzarri will give rest to some players (Cavani for example, Grava is injured), will put on the field a strong squad targetting next round . On the other side coach Malesani will do many experiment on its team, calling many youngsters. It's natural to think that preserving energies to save from relegation is a priority.At last Napoli have enough quality and motivations to win this match even if changing a little line-up.

Inghilterra - 20:45

BATH CITY - CRAWLEY - 2 (AH -1) @ 1,88 PINNACLE + WON

Odds market is balancing towards Crawley with heavy drop of odds: a right and natural tendence considering hosts championship shape (7-2-1 goals 27/9 in last 10 matches and best away performances). And I think moral gone definitely high with last incredibile FA Cup match when they killed the "giants" of Derby. Bath city seem to be a poor side to give serious problems to Crawley of last period. Only one winning match in last 5 played and tomorrow important striker Phillips (att - 25+8 goals) will miss. On the other side Crawley wil find fresh energies in return of Torres (mid - 21+ 2 goals), Smith (mid - 9+ 2 goals) and new signings Dempster (def) and Dance (mid - 1). Odds for "2" are almost gone, but asian line at -1 is still a nice bet in my opinion.

NOTICE / AVVISO

2011-01-14T21:40:00.000+01:00

Due to some problems to my internet connection, I could be not able to post any other pick for this week-end, however I'm trying to fix this problem and I hope to solve in time to pick other good bets for this week-end round .

Per alcuni problemi alla mia connessione internet potrei non avere la possibilità di postare altre picks per il week-end, comunque sto cercando di risolvere il tutto sperando di arrivare in tempo per piazzare qualche altra buona bet per il week-end..

GL
AWAKENGUARDIAN

15 GENNAIO

2011-01-14T19:08:00.001+01:00

Scozia - 16:00

FALKIRK - QUEEN OF THE SOUTH - 1 @ 1,80 LADBROKES - LOST

First Falkirk beated Queen twice this season (1-5 - 3-1), and it's going pretty well at home (5-2-2 goals 20/10). There are no particular line-up problems for homeside having only McManus (att) out. Queen of the South is coming from shocking defeat at home in mid-week Cup round by Brechin, and line-up situation is not changing with only 12 first team players available. Lilley (def) and Quinn (mid) get injured so I don't give to Queen many chances to catcch point against a strong side as Falkirk.

11 GENNAIO

2011-01-10T20:06:00.001+01:00

20:45 - Scozia

QUEEN OF THE SOUTH - BRECHIN - OVER 2,5 @ 1,81 10BET + WON

Homeside are favourite but I don't trust completely on them cause they missed to play a single match in 1 months. But over 2,5 could be a better bet. First considering Queen of the South home stats of the season ( goals 28/12 in 10 matches), and also considering attack of Brechin very dangerous with 12 goals scored in last 3 matches, THis last one also missing 3 defenders: McLauglhan (def - 14+1 goal), Moyes (def - 13+1 goal) and Whyte (def - 2). So hopefully I imagine a match with 3 or more goals.

8 GENNAIO

2011-01-06T20:48:00.006+01:00

Italia - 15:00

PESCARA - CITTADELLA - 1 @ 2,13 188BET + WON

Since season began Pescara grow up little by little and achieved a great result before Christmas drawing on league leaders field of Novara. Now they have a good streak of 5 matches unbeaten, and now have means and forces to beat Cittadella. This last one will be forced to reinvent midfield and attack due to some missings : Gabbiadini (att - 13+3 goals), Nassi (att - 9), Bellazzini (mid - 19), Magallanes (mid - 11), Dalla Bona (mid - 18+4 goals) and Gorini (def - 11) are ruled out. Pescara could theorically count on same side of Novara match apart Gessa (mid - 16+2 goals). Alcibiade (def - 3) and Soddimo (mid - 15+3 goals) still missing. So I found price for Pescara win very good to try.

edit 08/01 : Zanon (def) and Tognozzi (mid) out for homeside, but picks as taken at those odds on 6th Jan remain value.

Inghilterra - 16:00

SHEFFIELD UTD - ASTON VILLA - 2 (AH -0,25) @ 1,87 188BET + WON

Mainly I think that 5 match with no win are enough for Aston Villa, even if faced strong side as Tottenham, Chelsea and Manchester City recently. Premier League balance is very poor till now compared to last August prediction. Now the chance to recover self-confidence and victory hopefully come tomorrow against a dlapted side and standing 1 league below. Infact Sheffield will have many missings: Cresswell (att - 22+4 goals), Quinn (mid - 17+ 1 goal), Reid (mid - 9+ 1 goal), Lowton (def - 17+ 1 goal), Wright (gk - 2), Nosworthy (def - 21) and Jordan (def - 13) are all ruled out while Slew (mid - 2) is dobtful having been hitted by flu in last week. Aston Villa miss Heskey (att - 10+3 goals) . L. Young (def - 14+1 goal) and Delph (mid -2) are long -term missings. At last I see Villans clear favourite here.

PRESTON - NOTTINGHAM - 2 (AH -0,25) @ 2,02 PINNACLE + WON

Odds for asian at 1/4 for hosts are very good considering problems in Preston : team is involved in technical and managing crysis, and last place in Championship standings is a clear sign of this situation. However Preston is short on numbers and as nesw reporting, board will try ti sign as many players as possbile in next days (loan signings), probably 5 or 6 , to try give strenght to squad. For this match Cort (def - 3) and Brown (def - 12) are rated doubtful. Nottingham is a much better side, and beated Preston in last mutual match of Championship (1-2). They had only 1 defeat in last 2 months and clearly will fight to join Premier League till the end of the season. No news of turn over and only line-up concern is Tudgay (att - 4+3 goals) missing. Nottingham quality could prevail, and this match come in worst moment of the season for Preston

OSSETT TOWN - WHITBY - 2 @ 2,00 BET365 VOID / POSTPONED

Odds market is moving fast in favour of Whitby: dropping towards 1.80 and bet365 have a good price @ 2,00, Eurobet still @ 2,20. Movements are realistic on homeside situation and recent stats. 9 defeats in last 10 matches and 32 goals conceded ( 3 per match). Whitby is a better side with 5 winning matches in last 10, 4 points above homeside but with 3 matches missing. Numbers and odds market tell that Whitby is clear favourite here.

6 GENNAIO

2011-01-06T12:20:00.001+01:00

Italia - 15:00

CAGLIARI - MILAN - 1 (AH +0,25) @ 2,10 STANJAMES - LOST

Milan face this match with very important missing in every line-up department: Nesta (def - 15), Zambrotta (def - 8), Pirlo (mid - 14+ 1 goal), Ibrahimovic (att - 16+9 goals), Flamini (mid - 9+1 goal) and Boateng (mid - 15+2 goals). Since Donadoni is new Cagliari coach, squad is seeming to find its own balance, and could take a positive result today, usually beeing an hard opponent to face for every side and with no line-up problems reported. In last 2 home match scored 6 goals, and probably could give some problems to Milan defence. Asian line at +0,25 seem to be a pretty choice for this match.

9 GENNAIO

2011-01-05T23:19:00.002+01:00

Italia - 15:00

MILAN - UDINESE - UDINESE OVER 0,5 @ 1,80 SPORTINGBET + WON

Milan had some kind of fortune on last match against Cagliari, but next round will face a team in good shape like Udinese. This pick have 2 main reasons : first Milan missings especially in defence and midefiled. Abbiati (gk - 18), Nesta (def - 15), Boatang (def - 15+ 2 goals), Pirlo (mid - 14+ 1 goal), Flamini (mid - 9+1 goal), Ambrosini (mid - 11+ 1 goal) and Zambrotta (def - 8) are out. Gattuso (mid - 17) should play even if get little injured against Cagliari. Good news is Ibrahimovic (att - 16+9 goals) return. Second reason regard recent stats of Udinese goal scoring: recently they're flying at 2 goals per match, so I think they can score . Honestly I don't trust in Milan defensive balance, and as said fortune helped them to conced goals against Cagliari. Udinese will miss Benatia (def - 15)- Ferronetti (def) and Basta (def) still missing. . Mutual matches stats confrim a statistical trend: since 2004 in 9 matches at San Siro, Udinese scored a goals at least.

Italia - 14:30

LUMEZZANE - SALERNITANA - 1 @ 1,95 BWIN VOID / POSTPONED

Salernitana is living a very bad moment : no win in last 6 matches, and now Coach Breda gave a shock deciding not to call in line-up for next round 4 important and experienced players as Polito (gk - 18), Pestrin (mid - 13), Montervino (mid - 12+1 goal) and Peccarisi (def - 13). Many or all of them have chance to leave Salernitana in January transfer market. Also Murolo (def - 16+1 goal), Leggittimo (def - 17+1 goal) and Balestri (def - 16) are missing by disqualification while Accursi (def - 9) and Pepe (def - 2) are doubtful. In this situation Salernitana appear weak both on technical and psycological side. Lumezzane is unbeaten in last 4 matches, and playing at home can count on same winning side of last great victory on Pavia field (1-4), however still missing Pini (def - 11) and Lauria (att - 12+2 goals). I think homeside have a great chance to catch 3 points against a delapetd Salernitana.

4 GENNAIO

2011-01-04T19:21:00.001+01:00

Scozia - 20:30

ANNAN ATHLETIC - BRECHIN CITY - 1 (AH + 0,5) @ 1,92 188BET - LOST

There's a league difference between this sides and books obviously give Brechin a little favourite, but Annan could have conditions to stop host: Brechin will be short on numbers for this match forced to call some yongsters to build line-up tonight. Added to this, McLaughan (def - 14+1 goal), King (att -8+ 1 goal) and Booth (loan expired) are missing. On the other side Annan is missing on-loan attacker O' Connor, but have no other line-up concern, and having yet stopped Brechin far from home in last round played in November (2-2), I think they can take a draw at least and fight to pass through this Scottish Cup round.

3 GENNAIO

2011-01-03T18:55:00.002+01:00

20:00 - Spagna

MAIORCA - HERCULES - 1 @ 2,00 PINNACLE + WON

Maybe it's time for Maiorca to recover from 4 consecutives defeats, and tonight could be a good chance to catch 3 points : there are no line-up problems reported, and Hercules had been poor away recently (1 draw and 4 defeats in last 5 away matches). Also to be considered financial problems leading Drenthe to refuse to train this week and also playing tonight for unpaid-wages, same conditions of squad fellows. At last still missing some important players as Pena (def - 15), Tote (att - 12) and Tiago Gomes (mid - 14), added to Drenthe (mid - 10+2 goals). Odds are value for a try.

MERRY CHRISTMAS HOLIDAYS / BALANCE

2010-12-21T23:26:00.000+01:00

Il Blog chiuderà per qualche giorno, visto che me ne vado in ferie e stacco un po da tutto, internet e betting compreso. Quindi approfitto per tracciare un primo "report" di questi prmi 3/4 mesi della stagione.

Credo fermamente che il successo di un tipster si misuri col ROI ( Ritorno di Investimento), e un 107 % direi che possa considerarsi un risultato mediamente degno di un tipster rispettabile. Curiosamente il risulato è in linea con il rendimento in questo periodo ma dell' anno scorso, segno evidentemente ( incoraggiante) che una strada per il "profitto" esiste, se fatta di scelte mirate.

Ognuno ovviamente ha il suo metodo per raggiungere un attivo di bilancio, già in passato ho parlato di come tendo a scegliere gli eventi e non mi dilunghero' suo cio'. Ma sto piano piano cercando di arricchire la mia personale strategia per cercare ( si spera) di ottimizzare il risultato. Di recente mi sono posto un paio di questioni, utilissime credo ai miei scopi.

1) Piu passa il tempo e piu' vedo il bet come una vera e propria forma di investimento, quindi la qualità dei pronostici deve sempre tassatiavamente superare la quantità. Gia in questi mesi mediamente posto meta' delle picks che postavo un anno fa. Non ha assolutamente senso esporre i propri denari in tante picks settimanali.. piu' sono le picks e piu' rischi si corrono. L' Investimento in quanto tale deve essere oculato, quindi seguiro' ancora piu fermamente questa regola, per cercare di fare ancora meglio. Il mio personale target rimane il 110 % su medio - lungo termine. Non so francamente se riusciro a raggiungerlo, ma di sicuro postero' picks di cui non dovro' mai pentirmi anche con risultato avverso a posteriori.

2) Interessante è il discorso legato all' oscillazione delle quote, spesso le previsioni del mercato possono trasformarsi in picks viincenti, ma bisogna stare molto attenti a come si scelgono gli eventi. Un drop pesante non sempre è sinonimo di vincita, bisogna sempre cercare di capire o intuire cosa sta dietro a un eventuale calo di quota. Nei prossimi mesi perdero' piu' tempo a cercare di analizzare i mercati, magari estrapolando qualche indicazione utile per le mie future picks.

Detto questo non mi rimane che augurare ai lettori del blog un buon natale e un buon 2011 pieno di belle casse :-)

This blog will close for few days, since I'm leaving for Christmas Holidays, and while I'm wrting this advice I'm catching opportunity to talk about balance.. I firmly believe that a good tipster can be measured by ROI ( Return of Investment), and I think that 107 % is a respectable result till now.

Curiously it's the same result of last year in the same period, a good proof that "road to profit" exist. Everyone have own strategy to reach it. In the past I've talked about my strategy and I' won't spend some other boring words on that. However I'm still trying to enrich my strategy to make it better hopefully, and in last period I'd thinking about a couple of considerations useful to my purposes:

1) Day byr day I'm convincing that betting is a true form of investment so predictions should follow quality and not quantity. In these last 3/4 motnhs I've posted an half about of weekly picks posted in last year. More picks = more risks, so I could post in the future less picks again, but always fully trustly even after lost. So i will try to follow this rule strongly in order to obtain even better results I hope. My target was and is 110 % Roi il medium/long terms. I don't know if I will be able to reach it, but surely I will bet in quality and not in quantity as i said before.

2) An important chapter is dealing with Odds movements and market. Often a "market prediction" could turn into a wiining bet, but you have always to keep attention. A faster and heavy odds drop is not always synonymous of winning bet.. You had always to find reason why of dropping or imagine it. In next months I' ll try to take a look to odds market to find useful indications to my picks.

Said all that, now I can only wish you all a Merry Chistmas and a happy new year ! :-)

GL
AWAKENGUARDIAN

21 DICEMBRE

2010-12-20T19:37:00.003+01:00

20:00 - Spagna

CORDOBA - DEPORTIVO LA CORUNA - 1 (AH + 0,25) @ 1,80 188BET + HALF WON

Last news say that Deportivo will change 7 of 11 players takin' the filed in last Liga round, so some key-players as Manuel Pablo, Colotto, Guardado, Valeron and Ruben Perez will not play. Cordoba is a team of "Segunda Division", however capable to do well as demonstrated in last Copa match, whne eliminated Racing (team of Liga). Homesi will putt on the filed strongest line-up possible , apart injuries of Gaspar (def), Javi Flores (mid - 11), Raul Navas (gk - 16) and Fuentes (def - 8). At last i trust in homeside to get a draw at bad or win hopefully.

18 DICEMBRE

2010-12-17T18:38:00.009+01:00

Italia - 15:00

GROSSETO - CROTONE - 1 @ 2,10 BET365 - LOST

Mainly reason of this pick is Crotone form and last results: first line-up will be forced to change again due to Eramo (mid - 12), Russotto (att - 15+1 goal) and Curiale (att - 11+ 3 goals) missings, Abruzzese (def - 19+ 1 goal) is very doubtful, and Galardo (mid - 17) is not fit at 100%. Adding that Crotone have 3 defeats in last 4 matches, Grosseto is a great chance to catch 3 points, having recovering own identity little by little under Coach Moriero. Last round came a defeat away and against a strong opponent like Reggina (1-0), but in 2 previous rounds 2 good victories came agasint Modena (3-1) and Triestina (0-1). Tomorrow Grosseto wil take the field with best line-up possible, and maybe Crotone will continue its bad time.

Following matches were postponed due to weather conditions so picks gone void

16:00 - Inghilterra

WIGAN - ASTON VILLA - 2 DNB @ 1,88 BET365 VOID

MK DONS - OLDHAM - 2 (AH +0,25) @ 1,91 188BET VOID

CREWE - BRADFORD - 1 @ 2,10 BET365 VOID

SOUTHEND - WYCOMBE - 2 DNB @ 1,85 188BET VOID

19 DICEMBRE

2010-12-15T18:28:00.007+01:00

12:30 - Iran

SAIPA - SANAT NAFT - 1 @ 2,10 BWIN + WON

This pick have odds market reasoning. Odds is dropping heavly , started from 2,50 about and now reaching 1,70/1,80 on some books, Bwin have still a good price. No info about this Iranian championship match, but in this case of heavy dropping odds and having chance to take still a good price, I try straight.

15:00 - Italia

NAPOLI - LECCE - LECCE TO SCORE @ 1,80 BET365 - LOST

It's nowadays news that Napoli will miss 3 first-regulars defender by disqualification: Aronica - (def - 10), Campagnaro (def - 15), Cannavaro (def - 14+ 2 goals). Also Pazienza (mid - 13) is banned, so it's easy to think tattic and backwards balance could be affected. Also to remeber that tonight Napoli will surely spend mental and physical forces in Europa League match against Steaua, cause it's in must-win situation. Odds for "1x2" still favourting heavly Napoli, but for reason said above Lecce could score a goal at least. In this point of view recent stats are good with 8 goals scored in last 4 championship matches. Lecce will miss again Chevanton (att - 4) and Reginiussen (def), but Corvia (att - 11+ 2 goals) is available agaiin. At last "Lecce to score" is my choice.

BARI - PALERMO - 2 (AH -0,25) @ 1,90 PINNACLE - HALF LOST

Bari is struggling too much this season, and the main reasons are linked to many injuries affecting a lot of important players, and makers or last year great championship. Ghezzal (att - 9), Castillo (att - 7+1 goal), Alvarez (mid - 14), S. Masiello (def - 6) and Belmonte (def - 12) are all out. A "key-player" of last weeks as Gillet (gk - 16) is also out along with key-midfielder Almiron (mid - 13) injured again in last round. Parisi (def - 13+1 goal), Kutuzov (att - 8+1 goal) and Barreto (att - 12+4 goals) are rated doubtful, with this last one with a little more chances to be in this week-end. Palermo is a better side and have got quality and skills to beat this Bari . Performance are going on as predicted at the beginning of the season, with Palermo fighting in high classification zone. For this match Migliaccio (mid - 15) is in doubt while Hernandez (att - 8) and Damian (def - 2) are still out. Looking at overall conditions in which take place this match, Palermo is clear favourite here, but i prefer to choose a good covering line of 1/4 at almost double on odds.

NEAPOLIS - MILAZZO - 2 DNB @ 2,20 BET365 - LOST

Value bet here. Asian handicap options are not available so I built a DNB with odds on Bet365 ( x@ 2,80 and 2@ 3,50). Main news is that this match will be played close doors. After this Neapolis and Milazzo have very similar table position: Neapolis at 23 points and Milazzo at 21, but homeside have no win in last 4 matches while Milazzo is unbeaten in last 3, so this time I give much more weight to this facts than line-up news. A tasty try is due to me.

14 DICEMBRE

2010-12-13T19:08:00.002+01:00

Scozia - 20:45

ELGIN - ALBION ROVERS - 1 DNB @ 1,83 TIPICO VOID

Albion hadn't played a single match in last month and this could be an advantage for homeside havin played last week-end and won away agasint Montrose. Odds-line are favouring host just a little, probably considering better standing position ( 4 points above Elgin but with 2 matches to recover) and that Albion beated Elgin last September (3-1) at home. But Elgin is in good run now having won last 6 consecutive matches at home, also beating Livingston (second division side) in cup. Apart fit doubts on hosts, Albion will miss Lumsden (def - 6), Canning (mid - 11) , Pollock (att) and Meechan (mid - 2), while key-player Love (mid - 12+4 goals) is rated doubtful. Homeside miss Kazcan (def - 11), and to me a DNB is a good covering line.

12 DICEMBRE

2010-12-11T20:16:00.004+01:00

14:30 - Italia

ALESSANDRIA - BASSANO - 1 @ 1,90 INTERWETTEN + WON

Alessandria is unbeaten in last 5 matches played and is fighting now in play-off promotion zone. All players are available apart Ciancio (def - 6) and Menassi. Bassano is struggling with a virus bug forced down a number of players and Mateos (mid - 13+ 1 goal) , La Grotteria (att - 12+2 goals) and Iocolano (mid - 6) are still out. In thios case picking homeside seems good.

17:00 - Spagna

MAIORCA - RACING SANTANDER - OVER 2,5 @ 2,20 STANJAMES - LOST

I'd hopefully like to see an over 2,5 match here: even bookmakers give Maiorca favourite , homeside showed a defence in crysis in last match lost against Getage (3-0) and they'll to shuffle backwards pack due to Kevin Garcia (def - 7) and Ruben Gonzalez (def - 5) respect last match. Also missing Ayoze (def - 7), Tejera (mid - 2) and Pina (mid - 4). On the other side Racing is the worst away performer of the league, evidencing a very bad defence with 18 goals conceded in last 7 away matches. There will bu remixing of line-up also in Racing with Pinillos (def - 2), Christian (def - 3) and Adrain Gonzalez (mid - 7) given first regulars, and Oscar Serranno (mid) recalled on the bench after an heavy injury. Hosts are underperforming forward, but Munits and Rosemberg have qualities to gave headache to Maiorca defence. Homeside could win but i see more valueble bet on an over 2,5 looking at those odds.

11 DICEMBRE

2010-12-10T19:54:00.002+01:00

Inghilterra - 16:00

BARNSLEY - SHEFFIELD UTD - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 2,05 BET365 +WON

Barnsley is in good shape with 3 victory and a draw in last 5 matches played, also with a decent home run (5-3-2 goals 15/9), I think that that have possibility to gain a postitve result against Sheffield Utd, this last one with shortage in attack , having Bogdanovic (att - 12+ 2 goals), Cresswell (att - 19+3 goals), Henderson (att) out, and Ward (att - 12) doubtful. Still missing Morgan (def - 8) and Williamson (mid). Homeside recover Hill (def - 2) and Doyle (mid - 17+ 1 goal), while McEveley (def - 11+1 goal) and Potter (def - 4) are long term missings. The odds for an asian line at 1/4 for Barnsley are very actractive.

STOCKPORT - CREWE - OVER 2,5 @ 1,82 188BET + WON

Shortly , with Lynch (def - 18), Swailes (def - 13), Williams (def - 14+1 goal) out for homesise, and Ada (def - 17+1 goal), Martin (def), Hussey (def) with loan stopped form Coventry and King (def - 6) out, and mainly with Crewe goals running (37/25 in 18 matches) and Stockport conceding 23 goals in last 10 matches played, at last over 2,5 is hopefully a good choice.

Scozia - 16:00

EAST FIFE - STENHOUSEMUIR - 1 @ 2,10 BET365 + WON

First i have to say that both side had great problems to train in last days cause of recent very bad weather condition; but pick homeside could be a good business: unbeaten in last 3 matches played, and with 7 goals scored in last 2 home matches. There are no line-up problems for East Fife, while hosts still missing 4 key-players: McCluskey (gk - 5)Clark (mid - 8+4 goals), Dalziel (att - 7) and Lynch (att), and there's no win in last 4 matches played.

7 DICEMBRE

2010-12-07T18:58:00.001+01:00

Champion's League - 20:45

MANCHESTER - UTD - VALENCIA - 1 (AH -1) @ 1,97 / OVER 2,5 @ 1,89 188BET - LOST

Manchester want to end first champion's league phase first so will take the field with the stronger line-up possibile to win cause Valencia have a better goals difference till now. Owen (att - 4+1 goal), Evans (def - 7), Brown (def - 5) and Hargreaves (mid -1) are missing, but Manchester united can also count on more rest days than spanish side cause last weekend premier league match was post-poned. On the other side Valencia have a lot of missing especially backwards. First 2 goalkeepers Cesar (gk - 8) and Moya (gk - 4) are injured. And Navarro (def - 9+1 goal), Stankevicius (def - 3), Topal (mid -5+ 1 goal), Vicente (mid -8+1 goal), Fernandes (mid - 7), Joaquin (mid - 10+2 goals), Bruno (def - 7) and Mathieu (def - 10), won't be in starting eleven. So homeside are clear favourite here, over 2,5 is another good choice for this match.

4 DICEMBRE

2010-12-03T18:48:00.001+01:00

Inghilterra - 16:00

LEEDS - CRYSTAL PALACE - 1 @ 1,83 888SPORT + WON

Leeds is unbeaten in last 6 championship matches played and so it have got my trust for this match. No particular line-up changes are in sight apart Connolly (def- 15) missing. Crystal Palace is nothing spcial at my eyes, having also the worst away running of the league (1-1-7 goals 8/22). For this match hosts will also lose strenght in midfield with Garvan (mid - 18+ 3 goals) and Marrow (mid - 16) not in contention. McCarthy (def - 18), Scannell (att) and Hills (def) are other players missing. So clear chance for homeside to remain near to promotion zone.

5 DICEMBRE

2010-12-02T19:39:00.008+01:00

Spagna - 12:00

CELTA VIGO - LAS PALMAS - OVER 2,25 @ 1,88 BET365 - HALF LOST

These odds of over 2,25 are value: Celta home stats tend to follow a clear trend , with 13/7 goals in 7 matches, while hosts always finds net and conceded a goal at least in 9 of last 10 matches played. Las Palmas have also some missing that could affect a little much more squad balance: Josico (mid - 11+ 1 goal), Randy (att - 2), Vitolo (att - 10+1 goal), David Garcia (def - 14), J. Viera (att - 12+3 goals) and Quiroga (att -1+1) are all out. Homeside miss Mallo (def - 13+1 goal).

Italia - 14:30

BASSANO VIRTUS - CREMONESE - 2 DNB @ 2,10 BET365 VOID

Bassano have doubts and problems regarding line-up: Venitucci (mid - 12), Baldo (att - 10+ 2 goals), Caciagli (mid - 10)and Iocolano (mid - 6) are all out along with Coach Iaconi banned. While Mateos (mid - 13+ 1 goal), Porchia (def - 9) and Crocetti (att - 13+ 5 goals) are rated doubtful. Bassano is running quite well till now, but at home yet 3 matches lost, and Cremomese is a better side than its position say. Host had physical problems since beginning of the season, but now it seems that these problems are solved, and hopefully Cremonese will try to climb classification in next weeks to reach a play-off spot at least. Cremonese have Fletta (mid - 12) out, and at last considering my point of view DNB for Cremonese is a value bet.

Brasile - 20:00

SAO PAULO - ATLETICO-MG - 2 (AH +0,25) @ 2,00 BET365 - LOST

Sao Paulo missing players list is still very very long and affecting every department: Alex Silva (def - 21), Miranda (def - 27+1 goal), Richarlyson (mid- 26), Rodrigo Souto (mid - 27), Fernandao (att - 26+ 8 goals), Fernandinho (att - 18+ 1 goal), Dagoberto (att - 23+ 7 goals) and Ricardo Oliveira (att - 15+7 goals). This is last round of Brasilerao, and homeside have nothing to fight for. Atletico -Mg saved form relegation, and now need need other points to be sure of Copa Sudamericana qualification. In this point of view hosts will be highly motivated and also free of bad pressure of last weeks when risking to be relegated . So with almost full forces Atletico will try to repeat very good performance of last rounds (victories against Goias, Palmeiras and Flamengo). Missing Renan Ribeiro (gk - 13), while Lima (def - 12) and Werley (def - 34+ 1 goal) are rated very doubtful. Asian line at 1/4 for Atletico-Mg should be a good choice for this match.

Cile - 23:00

NUBLENSE - SAN FELIPE - 1 @ 1,80 UNIBET + WON

San Felipe had lost possibility to gain pre-Libertadores play-off zone in last round, so in this last round of Chilean Championship have nothing to play for. There will be also a forced remixing of line-up due to 4 players disqualified : Magana (def - 12), David Fernandez (def - 25), Juan Toloza (mid - 27+ 3 goals) and Pablo SIlva (def - 11). But Di Stefano (mid - 21+1 goal) is available again after spent last round banned. However San Felipe have only one victory in last 8 matches played, while homeside are fighting to save from relegation and are unbeaten in last 5 matches, so I think that apart stronger motivations, Nublense could win also becasue is in better shape than hosts. Homeside miss Barroso (def - 14) disqualified.

1 DICEMBRE

2010-11-29T19:09:00.001+01:00

Europa League - 19:00

YOUNG BOYS - STOCCARDA - 1 @ 1,90 INTERWETTEN + WON

Hosts don't need points cause almost qualified with 4 victories in 4 matches, but now they had to be worry about very bad situation in Bundesliga with 17° position in standings. Young Boys always play good football in european matches when playing at home, in this point of view stats are clear: 6-5-1 in Europa League and Champion's League matches since 2006. To remember last august winning agasint Tottenham (3-2). However with 3 points qualification will be almost sure, so motivations should be high. Other important factor is some line-up concern in Stoccarda : Marica (att - 12+3 goals), Gebhart (mid - 12+1 goal), Tasci (def -8), Celozzi (def - 5), Degen (def - 3), Audel (mid - 2), Cacau (att - 14+5 goals) and Boulharouz (def - 4) will miss, and also to remember that first regulars taking the field in last lost match against Amburgo in week-end had to play in 10 men sin 15' due to Marcia banning, so fatigue could be another possible factor, if Stoccarca coach will not keep intention to remix team. Said that homeside could win.

28 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-26T21:03:00.002+01:00

Inghilterra - 14:30

NEWCASTLE - CHELSEA - OVER 2,5 @ 1,99 PINNACLE - LOST

In last period I saw Chelsea unbalanced, especially backwards. Terry (def - 11) and Lampard (mid - 3+1 goal ) are big missing for squad balance. Chelsea is now tending do concede something to opposeres, and Newcastle at home have a good scoring line (15 goals in 7 matches), but homeside will miss 2 first regulars central defenders as Williamson (def - 14) and Colloccini (def - 14+1 goal), so a backward remixing will be forced, and obviously Chelse is always a treat forward for any sqaud. Newcastle also miss Barton (mid - 12+ 1 goal), Ben Arfa (mid - 4+1 goal), Taylor (def - 1), Gosling (mid) and Harper (gk - 5), while Tiote (mid - 9 ) is back and Ameobi (att - 12+3 goals) is doubtful. However Chelse recover Alex (def - 10+1 goal), but still missing Essien (mid - 11+ 3 goal) and Benayoun (mid - 3+ 1 goal). As said and seen in recent weeks in both sides, to me over 2,5 is best choice for this match.

Brasile - 20:00

ATLETICO GOIANIENSE - SAO PAULO - 1 (AH - 0,75) @ 1,96 PINNACLE - LOST

Apart very different theorical level of motivations, Sao Paulo will have problems to put on the field a decent defense line cause Miranda (def - 27+ 1 goal), Alex Silva (def - 20) and Xandao (def - 20+ 1 goal) are out of contention. Also Richarlyson (mid - 26) and Fernandinho (att - 18+1 goal) are out. After last results with 3 matches with no win, Sao Paulo seem to be thinking to next season having nothing to fight for in this season. Otherwiese Atletico need 3 points at death hopefully to save from relegation after this round. Homeside will miss Thiago Feltri (def - 24+1 goal) and Juninho (att - 29+ 9 goals) and having played good match recently at home I think that a win is at hand.

27 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-26T18:57:00.002+01:00

Inghilterra - 16:00

BURTON ALBION - CHESTERFIELD - 1DNB @ 1,90 BET365 + WON

Chesterfield will have line-up problems especially in defense: Mattis (mid - 17), Breckin (def - 7), Hunt (def - 17), Downes (def) and Niven (mid - 14+1 goal) are out, Lomax (def - 4) is in doubt and Griffiths (def - 15) loan expired this week. Burton have Austin (def - 13) in doubt and just 2 rounds ago in League two beated Chesterfield away. DNB for Burton is to try.

QPR - CARDIFF - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,85 PINNACLE + WON

Qpr proved to be best side of the league just having un unbelieveble running (10-8-0 goals 33/8), and tomorrow have to me good chance to beat promotion rivlas Cardiff. For this match Qpr have available again Derry (mid - 17), Orr (def - 6+1 goal), Helgusson (att - 13+5 goals) and Smith (att - 12+2 goals). Still out Buzsaky (mid 9) and Ramage (def - 2). Cardiff had a bad week on training point of view : many players suffered of a virus bug, and following players had injury problems and are rated doubtful: Burk (def - 17+2 goals), Naylor (def - 15+2 goals), McNaughton (def - 16), Blake (mid - 12) and McPhail (mid -7). And last round some problems were shown due to defense remixing in defeat against Nottingham at home. However I choose a good asian covering line at 1/4.

29 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-24T23:27:00.001+01:00

Argentina - 01:15

NEWELL'S OLD BOYS - BOCA JUNIORS - 1 @ 2,20 STAN JAMES + WON

Last news say Boca have many players with injury concerns, adn there's is a strong possibility to face Newell's with a line-up with many changes respct last week-end match agasint Arsenal: Battaglia (mid - 14+1 goal) is banned, Cellay (def - 7), Insaurralde (def - 14+2 goals ), Medel (mid - 13), Riquelme (mid - 2), Paredes (mid - 1), Viatri (att - 14+5 goals), and Palermo (att - 15+7 goals) have all physical problems. Newell's i likely to repeat same line-up of last round, even if is coming from 2 consecutives lost matches , but after a series of 12 matches unbeaten. Sensini's squad has means to take this match nto only for possibile line-up problems as said, but also because Boca was very unbalanced in results this season.

26 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-24T20:23:00.002+01:00

Copa Sudamericana - 01:30

INDEPENDIENTE - LDU QUITO - 1 @ 1,95 EXPEKT + WON

I think that Independiente arrive to this match in better physical condition than Ldu. Hosts have some players injured and others not in best conditions: first regulars as Salguero, Barcos and Luna are rated doubtful. Also to be considered that Ldu had to fight with full forces both in National Championship and Sudamericana, apart last tusday agasint Deportivo Quito where youngsters had been in contention. and at last I think they could pay on mental and physical stress this last weeks hard running. Independiente usually rested first regulars to play with reserves in national championship, so form could be better than Ldu. Self-confidence should be high after scoring 2 goals on QUito high altitude (3-2), and Ldu lose advantages when play far from home, infact in last 3 years of Sudamericana, drawn 4 and lost 5 times, in 9 matches play as host. Said that to Independiente could take a win.

24 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-23T21:33:00.001+01:00

Guatemala - 22:00

PENAROL LA MESILLA - MUNICIPAL - 1 @ 1,95 BWIN - LOST

Municipal is yet qualified for championship semi-finals, but not sure of first position in standing having 5 points of advantage on Mictlan, but only 2 rounds to end of regulars season, so last news say that host coach will put on the field a reserve team to give rest to regulars (sunday another match agasint Marquense). However some important players as Penedo, Ramírez and Rodríguez will not travel for sure to Huehuetenangoto face homeside. Penarol is an hard opponent to face at home having lost only 3 matches on 22 played in 2010 in front of their audience.

23 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-22T19:44:00.002+01:00

Champion's League - 20:45

ROMA - BAYERN MONACO - 1 @ 1,90 INTERWETTEN + WON

Bayern is to be considered yet qualified having 12 points in 4 matches, and I think motivation (hopefully) will be all on italian side. It's realistic to think that Bayern is just thinking to recover positions in Bundesliga beeing now very far from first position. Roma needs 3 point to catch qualification almost surely and is building same self-confidence of last great season, week by week, unbeaten in last 7 matches played. Apart these considerations, Bayern will have some line-up problems: Van Bommel (mid - 7), Badstruber (def - 9), Robben (mid), Klose (att - 6), Olic (att - 6) and Schweinsteiger (mid - 13+2 goals ) are all out, and with also Ribery (mid - 7) rated in not best condition, we don't see Bayern at its maximum potential and quality. For Roma, experienced men as Riise (def - 9) and De Rossi (mid - 9+1 goal) will be in contention after beeing out in last weekend championship round. Still missing Perrotta (mid - 9+1 goal) and Taddei (mid -2), but there's enough trust and forces to see homeside rule this match for all said above.

Inghilterra - 20:45

STEVENAGE - SOUTHEND - 1 @ 1,91 888SPORT - LOST

I think Stevenage have good chance to win this match. Southend have only 1 win in last 10 official matches played, and will be agasin short in defense with Barker (def - 14) and Phillips (def - 3) out and Prosser (def - 7) not at best.So central defenders will be again Moshini (def - 11) and Coughlan (def - 8) however both overcoming last week injury. Stevenage could be a little more fresh cause Laird (def - 16+1 goal), May (att - 5), Long (Mid - 10) and Bridges (mid - 6) will be in after resting this last week-end, but beeing in contention in last brillant win in Fa Cup agasint Mk Dons (league one side). Anotehr important recovering is Ashton (def - 14+1 goal) while Boylan (att - 1) and Murphy (mid) are long-term missings. At last Stevenage beeing defeated once in last 10 matches and still boosted from Fa Cup passing round, could take 3 points tomorrow.

22 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-21T12:50:00.001+01:00

Argentina - 23:10

COLON - INDEPENDIENTE - 1 @ 1,75 INTERWETTEN - LOST

Independiente have a very important return match of Copa Sudamericana against LDU Quito, and having lost 3-2 in Quito this midweed after beeing 3-0 in first part of the match, trust is high to revert result and pass this round. So tomorrow many first regulars will rest, among them Navarro (gk - 8), Mareque (def - 11), Tuzzio (def - 11), Galeano (def - 12+ 2 goals), Velazquez (def - 10), Silvera (att- 12+3 goals), Parra (att - 11+1) and so on.. Colon is in good trend after 3 consecutives winning matches and recover Fuertes (att - 11+4 goals). However Independiente seem to be a weak side away (0-2-5 goals 6/17), so Colon could win.

20 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-19T18:31:00.004+01:00

Inghilterra - 16:00

BOLTON - NEWCASTLE - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,90 BET365 + WON

If we analyze last 10 matches of Bolton and Newcastle, we can see a similar trend, but Bolton lost only with Arsenal and Liverpool. "Effect derby" at Newcastle (5-1 agasint Sunderland) seem to be vanishing after defeat agasint Blackburn and draw with Fulham, all matches palyed at home. For this difficoult match hosts will have to re-mix midfield due to Tiotle (mid - 9) and Burton (mid - 12+ 1 goal) missings ( Ben Arfa - mid 4+1 goal and Gosling - mid - still missing ). Carroll (att - 13+ 7 goals) should be fit 100 % even if having a slight injury at the beginning of the week, and however made his debut with England. Other missing players are Taylor (def - 1) and Best (att). Bollton recover Steinsson (def - 12+1 goal) after banning, and only concern regards long-term missing : O' Brien (def), Gardner (def), Samuel (def) and S. Davis. And seeing recent form of homeside I found asian line at 1/4 very good.

SOUTHAMPTON - PETERBOROUGH - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,93 PINNACLE + WON

Even if League One standings say that Peterborough is above Southampton, recent trend and objective potential make Southampton favourite here in my opinion. This last one is flyin high with 6-2-2 in last 10 matches, and at home Saints are doing a great job. They' ll probably reach promotion zone soon and fight with best sides of the league. Peterborough is coming from 3 defeats in last 4 championship matches, and still missing some regulars as Hibbert (att - 7+1 goal), Twumasi (def - 11), Rowe (mid - 11) and Frecklington (mid - 5+ 1 goal). Midfielders Lee and Whelpdale left this week for loan. Saints have non line-up concern and to me have great chance tomorror to gain 3 points once again at home against a side at hand.

SHEWSBURY - SOUTHEND - 1 @ 2,00 BETSAFE - LOST

After 16 rounds there are 10 points between Shewsbury and Southend ( 1 match to recover), and also watching at great home stats of Shewsbury (5-2-0 goals 13/5) , I can see value back them. Also to be said thath Southend is facing defensive problems with several players not at best. Barker (def - 14) is out, Phillips (def - 3) is struggling with hernia, Prosser (def - 7) is rated very doubtful having some injury problems, as Moshni (def - 10+1 goal). Coughlan (def - 7) is rated fit even if missing last 3 matches. No new problems for homeside, hopefully able to win this one.

Scozia - 16:00

DUMBARTON - MORTON - 2 @ 1,90 INTERWETTEN + WON

First there's a league difference between these contenders, and Dumbarton is the poorest side of Second Division till now (3-1-9 goals 12/29) and vary bad defence, but for tomorrow matches homeside will have problems in attack for this Scottish FA cup match : Chaplain (mid -9+2 goals), Carcary (att - 8+2), Maxwell (att - 7+1 goal), Gilhaney (att - 7+ 2 goals) and Walker (att - 1+1) are all out. So Morton have a good chance to take this match, having a full squad available apart Evans (def - 9) and beeing beated in last month only by one of the strongest side of Division One as Raith.

19 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-17T20:20:00.003+01:00

Messico - 01:00

PACHUCA - MONTERREY - 1 DNB @ 2,00 WILLIAM HILL VOID

Pachuca improved performances recently with 3 consecutives wins, and have in target to win the tilte and do a good World championship club (Concaf side team). They are able to win against Monterrey coming from 3 defeats in last 4 matches played and also missing some first regulars as Orozco (gk - 16), Meza (def - 7), Luis Perez (mid - 17), Suazo (att - 15+ 10 goals) and Ayovi (mid - 16+2 goals). I have no news for possibile line-up problems for Pachuca so a DNB seems very good.

16 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-15T19:16:00.002+01:00

Inghilterra -20:45

ADERSHOT - BRENTFORD - 1 DNB @ 2,02 188BET + WON

In first round was 1-1, so in this replay match Adershot hopefully can stop again Brentford, mainly cause hosts will have problems to put on the field usually defence line-up. Infact Balkestein (def- 8), Osborne (def - 15) and Mac Cracken (def - 2) are out, also first regular gk Hamer (gk - 10) can't play, while Cort (att - 3) is long-term missing. Homeside have important recovering of Halls (def - 6) and Morgan (att - 14+ 6 goals), while Panther (mid - 12) could be in if he recovers in time. Good a DNB for Adershot in this case.

VAUXHALL - HARTLEPOOL - 2 @ 1,80 LADBROKES + WON

First af all there's a difference of 3 leagues between this sides, and Vauxhall will miss important players : capatain and experinced player Griffiths (def), Moogan (def - 6+ 1 goals) and Egerton (def - 4). First gk Tynan (gk - 11) is out, second choice Clancy (gk -1) can't paly so third choice Ritchie will take the field. Hosts miss again Humpreys (mid - 4+1), but could do a little turn-over, however Brown (att - 6) culd take a chance after recovering form injury. Other options are Poole (att - 3+1 goals), scoring in last league-one round, McSweeney (mid - 16+2 goals), Yantorno (mid - 7) and Boyd (att 7+1).

13 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-12T19:32:00.006+01:00

Italia - 15:00

MODENA - VICENZA - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,98 BET365   + WON

In last period we can see that Modena is an hard side to beat: in last 10 matches they've lost thrice but with very strong sides as Atalanta, Siena and Reggina, all away from home however. Modena have a good running in front of their audience (2-5-0 goals 8/6) and tomorrow Stanco (att - 9+2 goals) will miss, but Gillioli (att - 14) and Milani (def - 7) are recovered. Vicenza is living a crisis, with last 3 matches lost and a very poor defence showed with 8 goals conceded. Most of line-ip concerns infact are backwards with Zanchi (def - 7), Bastrini (def - 10+ 2 goals) and Minieri (def - 5) missing. Also Botta (mid - 12 ) is out. Vicenza is poor away till now (1-0-6 goals 7/17) so I found asian line at 1/4 for Modena very good for a try.

Inghilterra - 16:00

TOTTENHAM - BLACKBURN - 2 (AH + 0,75) @ 2,12 STAN JAMES - LOST

Tottenham is facing an hard injury crisis with many important players out, very doubtful and not fit at best: Keane (att - 5), Lennon (mid - 10), Giovani Do Santos (att - 3), King (def - 4), Defoe (att - 2), Dawson (def - 3), O' Hara (att) and Woodgate (def) are out; Huddlestone (mid - 10+ 1 goal), Pavlyucenko (att - 11+ 3 goals) and Bentley (mid - 2) are very doubtful, and at least Van der vart (mid - 8+5 goals) is not good condition even if He will be in tomorrow. This means limportant lacking in every department. Blacburn is coming from 2 consecutive winnning match, and is abble to me to catch some points tomorrow . Roberts (att - 3+2) could be first -regulars after coming from the bench last rounds, and Andrews (mid - 1), Grella (mid - 4), Mwaruwari (att - 7+ 1 goal), Nzonzi (mid - 9+1 goal ) and Olsson (def - 8) are still out. I try asian line at +0,75 for hosts, however usually playing a decent football when coming away.

NOTTINGHAM - QPR - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 2,09 188BET   - HALF LOST

I think that Nottingham is the right opposer to stop Qpr impressive records of 15 matches unbeaten. Little by littel homeside are recovering form and strenght, and only concern is Wilson (def - 8) missing. Nottigham at home is a great side as seen last season, and this year they're going on to do things at best (4-4-0 goals 12/6). Qpr however drawn 5 of last 6 matches, and would be natural losing some points in a season so long. Tomorrow 2 first-regulars defenders will miss: Orr (def - 6+1 ) and Connolly (def - 14). Helguson (att - 13+5 goals), Hall (def - 2+ 1 goal), Buzsaky (mid - 9), Ramage (def -2),Mahon (mid) and Cook (mid ) are still out.

ROTHERAM - OXFORD - OVER 2,5 @ 2,05 BWIN   + WON

Rotheram home trend (3-4-1 goals 17/14) push me to this choice, and also because they are short in defence with Mullins (def - 11) out and Fenton (def - 5) very doubtful as Taylor (att - 6+1 goal). There was an emergency loan signing to give strenght. Oxford miss Wright (def - 7) and could see its pack shuffled with several loan signings. Over 2,5 seem value here.

Scozia - 16:00

STIRLING - FALKIRK - 2 @ 1,80    888 SPORT   + WON

Stirling is probably the poorest side of the league (3-3-6 goals 13/26) and tomorrow will miss several first-regulars due ti disqualification and injuries: Allison (def - 5), Borris (att - 9), Forsyth (def - 9+1 goal), Brown (def - 8), Mullen (att - 7) and Gibson (mid - 9+ 1 goal). Falkirk surely will fight till the end to come back to Premier League and have means to win this match. Missing Compton (mid - 8+2) and MacManus (att - 2+2 goals)

ARBROATH - MONTROSE - 1 @ 1,91 BET365 + WON

Arbroath at home (4-1-1 goals 10/7) and coming from 3 consecutives winnning matches, so shape is high. Rattray (def - 5) is missing. On the other side Montrose (away 1-1-3 goals 8/11) have no win in last 4 championship matches, and could miss 7 players: Tweed (def - 2), Masson (mid), Crawford (def - -6) and Nicoll (att - 8) are out while Watson (mid - 6+1 goal), Davidson (mid - 6) and Pope (def - 10) are doubtful. Homeside could win.

14 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-11T19:32:00.002+01:00

Brasile - 20:00

ATLETICO GOIANIENSE - PALMEIRAS - 1 @ 1,85 BET365 + WON

Here is anoher match with different levels of motivations: Atletico is in full fight to avoid relegation and need points despertly, while Palmeiras have nothing to say for this Brasilerao 2010, and since some weeks is concentrating forces on Copa Sudamericana. However they catched a victory last week-end against Guarani using a team ful of reserves. Probably coach Scolari will repeat it again havin played just yestarday with full forces against Atletico-MG (2-0) in Copa Sudamericana. So It's a good chance for homeside to come back to victory after 3 winless matches. Atletico will miss Welton Felipe (def - 16) but Gilson (def - 16+2 goals) is recovered from an injury. Palmeiras as said should rest many players, and however motivations will be on all Atletico side.

Italia - 14;30

PRO PATRIA - TRITIUM - X2 @ 1,80 BET365 (combining odds of "X" @ 3,10 and "2" @ 4,50) - LOST

Board President of Pro Patria declared in these says that He wants to put on liquidation its squad due to ammount of debts made in this last months. Don't know if this is the last desperate warning to possible buyers, but it's difficuult to me thinking that an historical footaball club as Pro Patria risk to dissapear form Italian professional football. Surely situation is bad and could affect players performance, even if I don't know if next sunday match will be played regularry after this shocking news. Tritium is a good side standing at third position in Lega Pro 2 / B, and is coming form 3 consecutive wiining match, so I come a littlre early on this and i combine odss from Bet365 of "x" and "2", forming a double -chance for hosts @1,80. Now let's wait and see what will happen in next days.

10 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-09T19:31:00.003+01:00

Brasile - 00:50

GUARANTINGUETA - ASA - 1 @ 1,85 PINNACLE - LOST

This match could follow different levels of motivatons by both sides. Guarantingueta is in need of points to take distance form relegation zone , just 3 poinst above with 4 rounds reamaining. While Asa is just thinking to next season, standing at 48 points , so 9 points above Brasiliense covering first standing for relegation. Asa will miss Luis Mario (att - 22). Homeside recover first regular Gk Jailson (29 p), but miss Jorge Luiz (def - 8). So after 4 home match withi no win, I think it's time to turn back to victory, in a probably full stadium, and however homesides were capable to win iagainst Coritiba and Bahia in this season in front of their audience.

Inghilterra - 21:00

MANCHESTER CITY - MANCHESTER UTD - 1 DNB @ 1,85 GAMEBOOKERS VOID

Coach Fergusson has got several concerns for tomorrow derby: a virus bug ciruculating last week-end made some players very doubtful: Berbatov (att - 10+ 6 goals), Anderson (mid - 3 ) and Gibson (mid - 2). Giggs (mid - 7+1 goal) and Nani (mid - 10+4 goals) are rated very doubtful due to injuries and at last Hargreaves (mid - 1), Owen (att - 4+ 1 goal), Rooney (att - 5+ 1 goal) and Valencia (mid - 2) are out. So United surely will miss quality. City have Balotelli (att- 3+ 2 goals), Johnson (mid) out and Adebayor (att - 7+ 1 goal) doubtful, but there's enough quality to catch a good result. City were boosted by week-end victory on West Browmich field after a series of 3 consecutive losing matches and also voices of coach Mancini firing. But this could be a good chance to recover supporters and board trust. DNB line is good for a try.

9 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-08T20:05:00.002+01:00

Inghilterra - 20:45

CAMBRIDGE UTD - GRIMSBY - 2 (AH +0,25) @ 1,93 + HALF WON

Cambridge will be short of defensive solutions due to Partridge (def - 8), Saah (def - 17+ 2 goals) and Hudson (def) missings. Grimsby have no particular line-up problems and can count on more days of rest hadn't be in contetion in last mid-week FA Cup round as Cambridge. Howere hostes are a better side than last results say . Last 5 matches palyed with no victory, but I think that tomorrow Grimsby could catch some points on Cambridge home.

7 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-03T23:56:00.008+01:00

Bulgaria - 13:00

SLAVIA SOFIA - LEVKSI SOFIA - 2 @ 1,95 SPORTINGBET - LOST

Odds market is moving faster for hosts. THis is a derby and it not to be considered Levski to play away so odds are very good. This last ones are coming from a very good match played against Lille in Europa League, and maybe today's match is a good chance to return to victory after 2 championship matches lost. However there's a level diffrence between this sides and Slavia Sofia have only 1 win in last 5 matches played. Homeside miss Vasilev (mid - 4), while Levski miss Dembele (att - 11 - 14 goals), Tasevksi (mid 9+2 goals), Gadzhev (mid - 7) and Aleksnandrov (mid 7+2 goals) but have enough quality on the bench to have a strong line-up and win this match and flying towards first positions.

Argentina - 18:00

SAN LORENZO - INDEPENDIENTE - 1 @ 1,80 TIPICO - LOST

Independiente is now concentrating on nex important match in mid-week against Tolima, so the team for todays match will be full of reservres. Also to be said that Independiente usually is very bad away (0-1-5 goals 5/1&), while San Lorenzo have a decent running at home (3-2-1 goals 10/5), and will miss Aguirre (def - 2) and Meza (mid - 12).

Colombia - 02:30

MILLONARIOS - TOLIMA - 1 @ 2,00 888SPORT - LOST

Tolima will take the field with only 3 first regulars to preserve team for next very important return match of Copa Sudamericana against Independiente. These are Silva (gk - 15), Chara (mid - 33+ 3 goals) and Perlaza (mid - 32 + 13 goals). Millonarios is in need of points for play-off classification, so motivation should stay high for this match. Montano (def - 11) is missing, Amaya (mid - 12+ 1 goal) is doubtful, while Saa (def - 7+2 goals), Alex Diaz (def) and Mosquera (mid - 28+2 goals) are back in the squad. Mutual matches at Millonarios home since 2002 say 6-1-1 for homeside.

Brasile - 22:30

PALMEIRAS - GUARANI - 2 (AH +0,5) @ 1,96 PINNACLE - LOST

After defeat against Atletico - Pr, Palmeiras have nothing to say more in Brasilerao 2010: G4 seems to far now, and next midweek there will be the most important match of the season against Atletico Mg, for Copa Sudamericana. So most probably that coach Scolari will rest some key-players in order to arrive in better condition to this very important match. I don't think there's another solution cause Palmeiras is playing pratically 1 match per 3 days. Guarani miss victory in last 8 match, and to me there are good chance to take points on sunday against Palmeiras without motivations. For this match Guarani miss Moreno (def - 8) and Maycon (mid - 10) but recover Heffner (def - 27) and Apodi (def - 15). Asian line at +0,5 for Guarani is probably the best choice for this match.

Italia - 20:45

PALERMO - GENOA - 1 @ 2,05 PINNACLE + WON

Both teams are underperforming till now. Genoa now seems paying line-up difficulties with some key-players missings. In last match against Inter situation was bad, and last news don't show improvment: Sculli (att - 6), Palladino (att - 2), Kharja (mid - 6), Palacio (att - 7+1 goal), Veloso (mid - 6), Jankovic (att) are still out and important midfielder Milanetto (mid - 9) is banned for next match, and Chico (def - 7) get injured. However Rudolf (att. - 6+ 1 goals) will be back. Palermo Coach Rossi said that is willing to rest many first regulars against Cska Mosca in sight of match agasint Genoa. Infact it's important to recover 3 points after 2 consecutive losing matches. Liverani (mid - 3) is doubtful, while Hernandez (att - 8) is out. Watching at this match with clearer possible perspective I see Palermo one level above Genoa, and odds for home-win are very very good to try.

6 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-03T20:46:00.005+01:00

Inghilterra - FA Cup - 16:00

FLEETWOOD - WALSALL - 1 (AH + 0,25) @ 1,81 10BET   + HALF WON

Walsall situaation in turning bad: after 3 consecutive losing matches now they're last in stanfings in League Two, and Coach Hutchings is on the way to be sacked. Also to be considered missing of 2 regulars playing in last championship round, Devaney (mid - 4+1 goal) and Dickinson (att - 1) added to still absent Byfield (att - 5+1 goal) and Davies (mid - 1). Fleetwood is a Conference Division squad, with only 1 match lost at home in all season. Only Hurst (gk - 7) is missing, and having counted on 3 extra days of rest (Walsall palyed in mid-week), homesdide could take advantage of host bad atmosphere and at least not lose this match.

ROTERHAM - YORK - 1 (AH -1) @ 2,04 188BET - LOST

Roterham is one of the best teams of League Two, fighting for promotions standing at 6th place ( 24 points), but they're missing a victory in last 3 matches, and I think they'll be higjly motivated to win this FA cup matche. To confirm this homeside coach will put on the filed the best line-up possibile (missing only Randall - mid - 1). York is a Conference side permorming poor in last weeks , with only 1 match won in last 7. Carruthers (def - 6) is not at 100 % while Beesley (att - 3) loan is ended. At last there's one or more levels difference between both sides and if Rotheram play determinated to come back to victory, asian handicap at -1 should be covered.

STEVENAGE - MILTON KEYNES - 1 DNB @ 1,78 10BET   VOID

Milton Keynes come from a week full of physical problems due to a virus bug covering several players. Last match in midweek was however won (3-2 against Yeovil), but Martin (gk - 14), Woodards (def -14+1 goal), Wibraham (mid - 7+ 1 goal) missed, and probably will be not recoveed in time. While O' Hanlon (def - 12+ 1 goal), Guy (att - 15+ 1 goal), Easter (mid - 13), and Hamann (mid - 12) played a part of the match beeing sick or not at 100 % fit. MacKenzie (def - 6) is banned, Ibehere (att - 13) is injured, but Balanta (att - 10+2 goals ) is back. So many doubts on tomorow line-up, no doubt there are too few days to recovering in fitness. So Stevenage could take advantage, beeing in very good shape and undefeated in last 5 matches played. There are no particular line-up problems for homeside apart some long-term missings : Byrom (def - 4), Boylan (att - 1), Beardlsey (att - 4+1 goal) and Murphy (mid). Steveanage play a League below, but tomorrow we could see two sides in very different physical condition, and It's enough do play a DNB for Stevenage.
Argentina - 20:20

GODOY CRUZ - NEWELL'S - 1 @ 1,85 INTERWETTEN - LOST

Before this match was post-poned as all last week-end in Argentina, Sensini had expressend the will to make a massive turn-over to concentrate on Sudamericana match agains LDU. And yestarday was 0-0, so it will be very difficoult for Newell's to qualify . Return match will be played next mid-week, but before Newell's have to face Godoy, in the same condtion supposed to be in last week: a very important match in mid-week and a championship round before. I have no reason to think taht Sensini will change perspectivies to make turn-over. First because players come from an hard mid-week match, and second and most important, Copa Sudamericana remain first target, and Newell's hopefully had to concentrate forces and minds on return match in Ecuador. Clearly no news till now, but logically Sensini will give again priority to LDU. Godoy Cruz is playing very well, with last 5 matches undefeatd, and much more days to prepare this match, having rested last week-end and this mid-week. Good news is recovering of an important player like Ramirez (mid - 11+6 goals), while Curbelo (def - 10 + 1 goal) is still out.Said that Godoy could win. Since opening odds. came down, but still playble.

Brasile - 20:00

NAUTICO - ICASA - 1 @ 2,10 TIPICO   + WON

In these last days Nautico got the best possibile news in Financial side. All wages and prizes for players were finally paid thank to a bank partnership. Bad financial situation inflieced this seasono and now Nautico is fighting to avoif relegation standing just 1 point above relegation zone. This unespected news could give the final boost to recovering a winning match missing since 6 rounds. Tomorrow Geilson (att - 27+ 6 goals) will miss. Icasa is not playing much better than Nautico and standing just 3 points above Nautico. It's important to say that 4 first-regulars will miss : Paulo Folane (mid - 25), Junior Kuxa (mid - 29+ 10 goals), Andre Neles (att - 7+ 4 goals) and Assisinho (att - 28+ 9 goals). Nautico could win-

4 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-03T19:41:00.001+01:00

Europa League - 19:00

JUVENTUS - SALISBURGO - SALISBURGO TO SCORE @ 1,91 SPORTINGBET - LOST

This bet is natural consequence of actual Juventus sitaution: a very long list of missing players counting last weeks/days injuerd, long-term injured and players not available for european matches. Buffon (gk) , Mannigner (gk), Chiellini (def - 8), Traore (def), Grygera (def - 6), De Ceglie (def - 6), Rinaudo (def - 1), Grosso (def), Aquilani (mid - 7+1 goal), Lanzafame (mid - 1), Martinez (mid - 3), Salihamidzic (mid), Iaquinta (att - 6+ 2 goals), Quagliarella (att. 8+ 4 goals). Also youngster Ferrero (def) supposed to be involved due to this injury crisis, get injuerd and can not be able to take the filed. Adding to this, Felipe Melo (mid. 9+1 goal ) and Sissoko (mid - 6) are rated doubtful. So coach Del Neri will be force to put in line-up some inexperienced youngsters, and also players out of their tactical skills, for example Pepe, probably pushed in a left-defensing role. Said about that could be good to take an asian line for Salzburg, but having no info about hosts, to me is much better choose "Salzburg to Score", naturally thinking that in first round hosts were able to do a goals against Juventus in better condition than now, Also Italian side conceded 3 goals to Lech in last home match. I predict much problems in defensive Juventus movements due to facts said above, so hopefully Salzburg will score.

2 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-01T19:41:00.004+01:00

Inghilterra - League Two - 20:45

CREWE - SHEWSBURY - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 2,05 BET365 - LOST

Crewe is an hard side to beat . Just last week-end came first deafeat against top-flight Port Vale, after 12 matches unbeaten. Tomorrow Blanchett (def - 13) will be back, and there are many chances to see also Westwood (def - 14+ 4 goals) and King (def - 5) in line-up. Shewsbury will miss important defenders as Raven (def - 13) and Sharps (def - 14+ 1 goal), while O' Donnell (def - 5) is doubtful. ALso doubtful Ainsworth (mid - 11 + 2 goals) and Neal (mid - 2). Still out Hooman (def), Bradshow (att - 4+ 1 goal) and Elder (att). Shewsbury failed last 4 away matches, so asian line at 1/4 for Crewe is to try.

Inghilterra - League One - 20:45

MILTON KEYNES - YEOVIL - 2 DNB @ 3,40 WILLIAM HILL - LOST

Both teams have very similar recent running (last 10 matches) : Milton 3-2-5 goals 12/14 and Yeovil 3-2-5 goals 12/20. Nowday news reportin of some problems due to a sickness bug covering several players since mid-week, so the are doubts on condition of the squad fot tomorrow match. Apart this fact, thera are important missing: important defender MacKenzie (def - 6) , , Balanta (att - 10) and Ibehre (att - 13) are all out. Only good news is recovering of Chadwick (mid - 14). Host have Henderson (gk - 8) doubtful, and Freeman (att. 11+2 goals) could be in line-up having beeing totally recoverd from an injury. Odds for away DNB are very attractive.

1 NOVEMBRE

2010-11-01T12:21:00.001+01:00

Italia - Serie B - 19:00

SASSUOLO - SIENA - 1 DNB @ 1,99 188BET + WON

Sassuolo is a much better side than actual Serie B ranking says. New Coach Gregucci is finding its first victory since he joined Sassuolo, and surely has players and means to give some concern to every squad in the league. Homeside have no particular line-up problems fot tonight match. Siena is one of first contenders to reach Serie A, but last 2 matches played showed some difficulties ( draw at home agains Crotone 0-0, and away defeat - 3-0 against Empoli), and tonight will take the field with a renewed defence due to Terzi (def - 11) and Vitiello (def - 10) disqualification, missing also Troianello (mid - 11) not in best condition. At last Sassuolo miss victory since 6 matches, and maybe today is good time to recover 3 points. A covering line in DNB probably is the better choice for this match.

31 OTTOBRE

2010-10-29T22:26:00.004+02:00

Uruguay - 20:00

PENAROL - LIVERPOOL - 1 (AH -1) @ 2,04 188BET - LOST

After being eliminated from Copa Sudamericana, Penarol can now concentrate its forces and will in local championship. Probably I am talking about the best team in Uruguay, and first contender to win the title: now first in talble (6-2-1 goals 18/9), and best home record (4-1-0 goals 8/3). For today match only concern is Albin (mid - 8) missing. Liverpool is undefeated in last 5 matches, but with 4 drawn among them and clearly a level below Penarol. Still missing some first-regulars. Maybe Gonzalez (def - 5) and Rodales (mid - 9+ 1 goal) could start from the bench beeing not at 100 %, while Silvera (mid - 5) is banned. Still out Blanes (mid - 5+1 goal), Macchi (mid - 6), Figueroa (att - 7+ 1 goal) and Diaz (mid). So here I see another could chance for Penarol to establish its leadership in Uruguay champonship.

Italia - Lega Pro - 14:30

NOCERINA - TARANTO - 1 @ 1,90 BET-AT-HOME + WON

Nocerina is in great shape being at the top of Lega Pro - group B, and also unbeaten at home (4-1-0 goals 8/3). And next sunday apart advantage to play in front of its audience , there could be another bigger advantadge cause Taranto is delapted by missing. Infact Barasso (gk) , Bremec (gk - 9), Antonazzo (def - 8), Migliaccio (def - 10), Cotroneo (def - 8), Pensalfini (mid - 5), Scarpa (mid) and Rizzi (def - 10+1) are out. So defence in particular appera very weak to contrast recent power of Ncoerina attack (8 goals scored in last 3 matches). At last homeside have means and forces to take 3 points and keep leadership.

Italia - Lega Pro - 14:30

GELA - COSENZA - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,78 188BET - LOST
In this match Cosenza will have great lline-up problems : Roselli (mid - 8), S. Fiore (mid - 3+1 goal) , A. Fiore (mid - 4), Essabr (att - 6), Musca (def - 9), Fanucci (def - 7), Bernardi (mid - 2), Giacomini (mid - 8) and Chianello (def) are all out and Biancolino (att. 6+1 goal) will be forced to be involved for this reason even if having some physical problems. Gela miss Docente (att - 7+2 goals), but is able to win this match counting on very good home stats (4-1-0 goals 9/3). I choose however a covering line of 1/4.

30 OTTOBRE

2010-10-27T19:52:00.013+02:00

Italia - 15:00

CITTADELLA - GROSSETO - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,92 188BET + WON

Seen at the condition this match will be played I think that asian line at 1/4 for homeside is to try. Grosseto have a very long list of first regulars missing: Caridi (mid - 7+ 1 goal), Consonni (mid - 9), Narciso (gk - 10), Federici (def - 6). Vitiello (mid - 11+ 2 goals), Soncin (att - 9+ 2 goals), Iorio (def - 6) and Asante (mid - 2). Cittadella is doing a bad season till here, but last away victory on Ascoli field could be very important on motivation and self-estimation point of view. In homeside missing Nocentini (def - 8+ 1 goals) and Magallanes (mid - 10). A good chance for Cittadella to repeat a winning match.

Scozia - Third Division - 16:00

ALBION ROVERS - CLYDE - 1 @ 1,90 188BET + WON

Clyde will be short in men for tomorrow match casue also they don't have a great ammount of players in squad usually : missing McGowan (def-6), McCusker (att - 5+4 goals), Sawyers (att - 5), Henderson (def - 6), while Waddell (mid - 5) is in doubt. Albion Rovers have the best home stats till now with 4-1-0 (goals 11/5) and they can win this one cause Clyde is running very poorly with last place in standing (1-3-5 goals 9/22), Homeside miss Lumsden (def - 6), Meechan (mid - 2) and Pollock (att), while Boyle (mid - 1) is recovered. Value on "1".

Inghilterra - League 2 - 16:00

NORTHAMPTON - GILLINGHAM - OVER 2,5 @ 2,08 PINNACLE + WON

This match could go over: homeside showed one of the worst defence of the league, and in only lat 2 matches 7 goals were conceded (even if scored 4). On the other side Gillingham is very poor when playing outside (0-3-3 goals 9/14), and for this match missing many palyers, in particular first and second choice goalkeepers Cronin (gk-7) and Julian (gk-6), so a teenage will be in. Also Weston (mid-10), McCammon (att-5) are out while Gowling (def-9) and Akinfenwa (att 12+4 goals) are rated doubtful. Homeside recovering McKenzie (att . 7+4 goals), Beckwith (def-7) and Johnson (def-11). This situation may suggest also to pick homeside, but great pressure is pushing on Northmpton and honestly I have non great confidence they can take 3 points, so for info and data told, I prefer to take an over 2,5 at good odds.

Serie A - 20:45

MILAN - JUVENTUS - 1 @ 1,95 BWIN - LOST

After victory away against Napoli, Milan surely recovered much more self-confidence than previous week, when came a bad defeat in champion's league match against Real Madrid. However the most importan fact is that coach Allegri learned from tattical mistakes done and found a more balanced system, and I think that tactical impovement seen against Napoli, will be obviously seen and used in next important macth at home against Juventus. Good news for defence cause Thiago Silva (def 7+1 goal) is recovered, while Ambrosini (mid 2) came back to fit regurally. Juventus will be short in men, in particular in attack where Iaquinta (att 6+2 goals) and Amauri (att 4) get injured again. Newly bought and very important and impressive in last matches Krasic (mid 8+3 goals) is banned. Also out Grygera (def 6), Rinaudo (def 1), Lanzafame (mid 1) and long-term missing Buffon (gk). So after 6 matches undefeatd maybe it's time for Juventus to stop against a strong side as Milan, that is growing week by week, both in well playing and tactical as said before. Value in homeside.

Brasile - 22:30

GREMIO PRUDENTE - CRUZEIRO - 2 (AH -0,25) @ 1,83 STAN JAMES + WON
OVER 2,5 @ 1,98 BET365 - LOST

Gremio Prudente situation is desperate: 7 points to safe-zone and abosulute need of points to keep alive hope, but for next match against Cruzeiro they will miss several players: Flavio Boaventura (def - 9), Leonardo (def - 17), Giovanni (gk - 25), Wesley (mid - 23+ 8 goals), Wanderley (att - 15+ 5 goals), Marcelo Oliveira (mid- 26), Rodrigo Mancha (mid - 20), Rafael Martins (att - 9+ 1 goal) and Hugo (att - 1). Cruzeiro is clear one or more levels quality better since they are fighting for the title, and points are needed, so after 2 consecutive lost matches maybe there are good conditions to come back to victory, in this point of view I prefer to take a covering line of 1/4 . Another good value is over looking at recent stats, and also because Cruzeiro will miss 2 key-defenders as Jonathan (def - 22) and Diego Renan (def 23).

Brasile - 20:00

FIGUEIRENSE - SPORT RECIFE - OVER 2,5 @ 2,00 CANBET - LOST

Value in over 2,5 goals here: Figuerense have one of the best attack of the league (55 goals scored) and for this match best scorer William (att - 27+9 goals) will play after suspending effect of banning. Other line-up news report Vinicius Pacheco (att. - 8) out, while Heber (att - 7+3 goals) and Roger Carvalho (def - 29+ 4 goals) are doubtful. Sport Recife is playing well recently but will have to rearrange defence: Cesar (def - 25), Geder (def - 2) and Andre Leone (def 2+ 1 goals) are out as Tobi (mid. - 22) and Daniel Paulista (mid - 23). Important to be said that hosts are in must-win situation cause standing 5 points below promotion-zone, so hopefully should be a well - played match. Both attack departement are very dangerous, so over 2,5 is a good choice to me.

28 OTTOBRE

2010-10-26T19:19:00.004+02:00

20:45 - Coppa Italia

BARI - TORINO - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,93 PINNACLE + WON

After I saw both team line-up of this tonight Coppa Italia match, I can say Bari could win this one. Massive turn-over in Torino, obviously focused on recovering position in Serie B. Also Bari is making turn-over resting some first regulars, but some quality players as Pulzetti, Kutuzov, Parisi, Masiello, Belmonte and Alvarez will take the field, and after 3 consecutive lost matches I think there is a great will to turn back to victory, even if Coppa Italia usually take low interest in clubs. At last to be remember that between Bari and Torino there's a category difference. So I try homeside at 3/4 asian line.

02:00 - Copa Sudamericana

GOIAS - AVAI - 1 @ 1,95 EXPEKT - LOST

Goias and Avai will face again after last match in Brasilerao, won by Goias (1-0). THis time in Copa Sudamericana will be different situation. Goias is likely to put on the field a strong line-up in order to take advanage in first round, instead of Avai, taht in words of coach Benazzi will rest several players to focus better in next championship survival match against Guarani. To me this is enough to trust in homeside.

27 OTTOBRE

2010-10-26T18:36:00.001+02:00

20:45 - Carling Cup

NEWCASTLE - ARSENAL - 2 @ 1,90 188BET + WON

Citazione:

Hughton will rest several of his key men ahead of Sunday's derby clash with Sunderland

Citazione:

Meanwhile, Arsene Wenger is again likely to select a strong squad for the tie.

Quindi padroni di casa che dirottano forze e motivazioni verso il derby contro il Sunderland, per cui si vedranno sicuramente in campo 3/4 under 20 (tra cui Kadar, Ferguson e Vuckic). Mentre fuori per infortunio Harper (gk- 5), Taylor (def), Campbell (def 1), Best (att), Ben Harfa (mid 4+1 goal) e Gosling (mid).
Per l' Arsenal tornano disponibili tre pedine importanti come Bendtner (att - 2+1 goal), Walcott (att - 4+4 goals) e Koscielny (def 6+1 goal). mentre rimangono fuori Vermaelen (def 3), Van Persie (att 3), Almunia (gk - 6). Ramsey (mid) and Wilshere (mid 8).

Newcastle is willing to do a massive turn.over in sight of next week.end derby agasint Sunderland, so many key-players will get rest. On the other side Arsenal coach Wenger will put on the field the best line-up possible, so important players as Bendtner, Walcott and Koscielny may be in. Homeside still missing Harper (gk- 5), Taylor (def), Campbell (def 1), Best (att), Ben Harfa (mid 4+1 goal) and Gosling (mid). Arsenal is missing Vermaelen (def 3), Van Persie (att 3), Almunia (gk - 6). Ramsey (mid) and Wilshere (mid). So there should be differente levels of motivations, and Arsenal could win.

24 OTTOBRE

2010-10-23T15:19:00.008+02:00

Inghilterra - 16:00

LIVERPOOL - BLACKBURN - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,90 STAN JAMES + HALF WON

After 7 consecutive matches with no win to me it's time to come back to victory for Liverpool. A massive turn-over was arranged in last Europa League match against Napoli, and now Gerrard, Torres, Meireles, Lucas are in, als Johnson and Agger could play. Blackburn as seen in last 2 away matches , defeated by Aston VIlla and Stoke, could concede, and Liverpool has enough strenght to beat it. Hosts will miss regular defenders Samba (def 8+1 goals) and Nelsen (def 7), added to Roberts, Andrews and Grella.

Lega Pro 2 - 15:00

MATERA - MILAZZO - 1 @ 1,65 EXPEKT - LOST

Odds of this match maybe are too low for some punters, and me too usual tending to choose odds next to 2.00 as possible. Bue here I see hopefully good chance to make a little profit. Milazzo missing list is very long between banned and injured players: Bica Badan, Bucolo, Orioles, Iannelli and Cucinotta are all banned, while Benci, Kouadio, Di Fatta, Rasa and Ricciardo are injured. So hosts wil travel with a very short group of players available. Matera is doing weel till now (3-3-1 goals 8/3), and most important thing, is also unbeaten at home with 2 wins and 1 drawn , goals 6/1. Apart line-up problems, Milazzo is performing as typical medium-low ranking sqaud (1-2-4, goals 4/11). So full trust in homeside is due.

Spagna - ore 17:00

GETAFE - SPORTING GIJON - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 2,08 188BET + WON

Homeside could take advantadge of a virus bug coming in last days among Sporting players. For this reason some important players probably will miss or not be iat 100 % : Diego Castro (mid 7+3 goals), Eguren (mid 6), Sangoy (att 5+2 goals) and Rivera (mid 7). Out casue injuring Canella (def 4). To this I add that Sporting away seemed to be very poor (0-1-2 goals 2/7). An asian line for homeside at 0,75 is my choice, hopefully a good choice.

Brasile - Serie A - 20:00

CORINTHIANS - PALMEIRAS - 1 @ 2,00 BETCLIC + WON

Early bet here: Corinthians miss a winning match in last 7 played, and it's enough in my opinion. Next week-end homeside have possibility to catch 3 points with Palmeiras coming from midweek match of Copa Sudamericana against Universitario, and for some important players missing for sure, as Gabriel Silva (def 13+2 goals) and Marcio Araujio (mid 29+ 1 goal) added to Valvidia (mid 14+2 goals). Odds on double need a try also becousa aprt last bad period, Corinhtian going on to have best home stats of championship (11-2-2 goals 33/14)

23 OTTOBRE

2010-10-22T20:02:00.003+02:00

Scozia - 16:00

HEARTS - ST. MIRREN - 1 (AH -0,75) @ 1,82 188BET + WON

If Hearts will perform good as in last away match against Aberdeen, I think there are many chance to cathc victory against a poor side as St. Mirren ( away 0-0-4 goals 3/11). Homeseide just missing a victory at home this season having drawn and lost twice. For St . Mirren still missing important players forward ( Shields - att 6+1 goal and Dargo - att 2+1 goal) and also Thomson (mid 2+1). In particular defence was very poor with 16 goals conceded in last 8 matches, and tomorrow also first - regular GK Gallagher (6 p) will miss. Homeside have Black (mid 7) in doubt, while Driver (mid), Obua (def 4) and Wallace (def 2) missing. To me good chance to turn back to victory at home.

Italia - 15:00

ALBINOLEFFE - PORTOGRUARO - OVER 2,25 @ 1,95 PINNACLE - LOST

This bet is natural consequnce of actual stats of both squads, and missing players in Albinoleff, in particular backwards. Infact defenders Foglio (def 8), Lebran (def 7) and Garlini (def 6) are all out with also Passoni (mid 4) and Hatermaj (mid 9), while Bombardini (mid 8) is in doubt. Hosts recover Pia (att 4) and D' Elia (def 7). Stats says that both sides tending to score a goal per match and conceding over 1,5 per match: Albinoleffe 10/16 goals and Portosummaga 10/17 , in 10 matches played till now. Good odds for over line at 2,25.

22 OTTOBRE

2010-10-22T18:24:00.002+02:00

20:30 - Bundesliga

AMBURGO - B. MONACO - 1 DNB @ 1,98 BET365 VOID

Price for this DNB is very good. Bayern played in midweek, and fatigue could count in this case, cause also many important players missing as Ribery, Robben, Van Bommel and Klose added to Contento, Breno and Alaba. Apart this Bayern is not permofrming at well in Bundesliga, and I don't expect hopefully things change, especially after a mid-week match. Hamburg is a solid side coming from 2 consecutive wiining matches, so another victory could be at hand. In homeside missing Elia (mid 7) and Jarolim (mid 7), while Petric (att 3+1 goals) could play just beeing recovering in fit this week.

19 OTTOBRE

2010-10-18T18:49:00.004+02:00

Inghilterra, Championship - 20:45

DONCASTER - DERBY - 2 (AH +0,25) @ 2,12 PINNACLE + WON

Doncaster will be short in defence options cause Friend (def 11+ 1 goals), Martis (def 8), Chambers (def) and Thomas (def 2) are all out, while other important defender O' Connor (def 11+2 goals) is rated doubtful. Derby is missing again Bywater (gk 10), but Green could be in after last midweek injury in International match. However last Derby running is quite impressive with 3 victory in last 5 ( 2 draws) and 12 goals netted / 2 conceded, so in my opinion another good chance to make some other points and take adavantage of delapted defence of homeside.

Difesa ridotta ai minimi termini per i padroni di casa

Citazione:

Friend (def 11+ 1 goals), Martis (def 8), Chambers (def) and Thomas (def 2) are all out, while other important defender O' Connor (def 11+2 goals) is rated doubtful

Nel Derby sempre fuori Bywater (gk 10), ma il giovane rimpiazzo Fielding si è comportato bene nello scorso turno, potrebbe rientare anche Green (mid 10+1 goal).
Poi il Derby sembra abbastanza in palla ultimamente: imbattuto nele ultime 5 partite con 12 goals fatti e 2 concessi. Questo per me è abbastanza per dar fiducia al Derby.

BURNLEY - BARNSLEY - 2 ( AH + 1) @ 1,75 188BET - LOST

Actual stats are against my prediction: Burnley at home 4-1-0 goals 12/3 and Barnsley away 0-2-3 goals 4/12. But first, considering last 10 matches played both teams have similar running, and homeside have great doubts over a number of players suffering the effect of a bug. Apart this Fox (def 11) and is rated doubtful and Carlisle (def 10) is suspended. Hosts have no particular line-up issue, so asian line at -1 for Barnsley could be good and covering an Homeside win by 1.

21 OTTOBRE

2010-10-18T18:11:00.002+02:00

Europa Lague - 19:00

NAPOLI - LIVERPOOL - 1 @ 2,00 INTERWETTEN - LOST

I think Napoli will have great motivations, first because of an attendance of 65.000 about at San Paolo stadium, and also because it needs first victory in Europa League after 2 draws in first 2 matches played. There's no news till now of possible turn-over, and i expect best possible line-up to catch victory. On the other side Liverpool will try partial turn-over, focusing on recover positions in Premier League. So the following players are out: Gerrard (mid 8+3 goals), Torres (att 8+1 goals), Johnson (def 7), Agger (def - 6 ), Lucas (mid 5) and Meireles (mid 5).

Copa Sudamericana - 01:00

SANTA FE - ATLETICO MG - 1 @ 1,90 WETTPUNKT + WON

Santa Fe could win this match cause 2 important advantages. First Atletico Mg will travel to Bogota with a small group of players (14), almost all reserves. Also important factor is that this match will be played at over 2100 m.l.s altitude, and Brasilian sides usually suffer this conditions. Sant Fe need a win cause first round was lost 2-0.

MY BETTING STRATEGY

2010-10-16T18:00:00.004+02:00

Hello everyone, my name is Marco known in the net as Awakenguardian, I'm 32 years old and i live in Brescia (Italy) since 3 years ago even if i am Sicilian (south Italy). I' ve been interested in betting since ever pratically, but turning to "professional" in November of 2009, when I started slowly my activity of football tipster. As months passed by I 've tried to find my own way finally choosing to play only singles covered by money managment system (MultiMasaniello 6x100 in my case).

Just few weeks ago (half past of September 2010) I think i've reached a good way to have possibilities to gain some money from bookamkers. Clearly I've never be rich, as any follower reading my predictons, no miracles promised. But experience of almost 500 picks suggested me something useful in reduce "distance" between common players and Bookmakers.

My ultimate strategy is so play singles with odds next to 2,00 ( min. 1,70/1,75 - but obviously is better odds higher than 2,00), optimiezed by using a money managment system called Masaniello, in order also to bet right ammount of money in the running progressions, and reduce risks as possible..and every pick I' ll give will be played with full trust, so evey bet is to be intended at 10/10 and not why i am be bettin a great ammount of money, but as said why trust in that pick will be 100 % due to particular info or stats datas, it will depend on every match conditions found..

A chapter of the same important regard choise of events. In my point of view is crucial search of sources ofr info and news about teams, and i think that tipster activities is very fascinating, but also requires a lot of time. On my own i am trying to find events on some championship or areas where I 'm specilizing. In particular I follow mainly Italian, Britain and South American football.
To me potential profit can gained when we have some elements changing balacne between 2 teams, and I am talking about line-up problems, physical shape, environment or financial issues, even if I find useful also stats datas.

Said that all should be completed by calm and seeing profit in medium-long terms, and also avoid to be involved in many bets at the same time, casue is a risk. That's was one of my last errors, especially in the weekend time, when many championships are running... but it's simple.. a good profit may come also by few good pick in a month.

Nothing special discoverd.. in bet wordl as in life is important to be modest sometime, but also find our own thoughts and way to do thing, and pursue our ideas consistently.. I do not pretend to a better man or tipster than many others, but simply to be a tipster/man bettert than me the day before..

GL
Awakenguardian

Ciao a tutti mi chiamo Marco, ho 32 anni e vivo a Brescia da qualche anno anche se sono Siciliano. Sono interessato al betting un po da sempre, ma al betitin "professionale" dal Novembre 2009 quando iniziai sondando piano piano il terreno come tipster e pensatore libero nel mondo delle scommesse, in particolar modo quelle legate al calcio. Col passare dei mesi ho cercato di trovare una strategia ottimale sia nel sistema di money managment delle puntate che nelle scelta degli stessi eventi.

Ultimamente verso la meta di Settembre 2010 penso di aver trovato la mia personale strada per poter puntare quanto meno a rosicchirare qulcosa ai bookmakers. Chiaramente non diventero milionario come non prometto miracoli a chi mi legge. Credo pero che l' esperienza di circa 500 picks possa pur dir quaclosa e indicare la dove bisognava smussare qualche angolo nelle potenziali scelte di strategia.

In definitiva io ho scelto la strada delle singole, giocate che variano da una quota di 1.70 in su, ma il piu possibile vicine al 2.00 o meglio superiori. Ormai da tempo gestisco le mie puntate con Il Multi Masaniello 6x100 che mi permette di ottimizzare al meglio le puntate ed eventualemente variare in corsa l' obiettivo di profitto in base sia a potenziali esisti positivi che nefaste singole perdenti consecutive.

Capitolo altrettanto importante è la scelta degli eventi : importantissimo secondo me se non fondamentale è la ricerca delle fonti ed in tal senso l' attività di tipster è davvero affascinante, ma che richiede un investimento di tempo non indifferente. Per conto mio ho cercato e sto cercando ancora di selezionare eventi e campionati la dove miro a specializzarmi. Al momento seguo principalmente il calcio Sudamericano, Italiano e Britannico senza precludermi pero eventuali altre aree di competenza. Andando pero' al nocciolo della questione per me una bet puo' diventare interessante in cui trovo un qualche fattore di sbilanciamento a favore di una squadra piuttosto che un altra, fattori che possono anche condizionare l' esito finale di un incontro di calcio. Sto parlando principalemente di problemi di carattere fisico,ambientale od economico, senza tralasciare qualche dato statistico che puo sempre tonrare utile nello stilare un pronostico.

Detto cio' penso che per chiudere il cerchio bisogna avere un gran sangue freddo, vedere il profitto sul lungo medio-termine, non farsi trascinare dai palinsesti ampi.. tra le altre cose uno dei miei ultimi errori... per ottenere un discreto profitto bastano anche poche singole in un mese ad esempio. e strafare porta ad inevitabili rischi.

Scommettere con cognizione di causa, con degli obiettivi prefissati, con regole comportamentali ben marcate, anche in base a cio' detto sopra, porta sicuramente a ridurre il gap tra giocatore "mortale" e bookmaker, per il resto ci sono sempre le multiple e le tradizionali agenzie di scommesse in mano ai Monopoli di Stato, ognuno è libero di rovinarsi con le prorpie mani :-)... in questo mondo come nella vita l' importante è avere la giusta dose di modestia in determinati frangenti come avere le proprie idee e perseguirle con costanza.. non pretendo di essere un uomo o un tipster migliore di altri.. ma solo un uomo o un tipster migliore del me stesso il giorno prima..

GL Awakenguardian

NO MORE REAL UNITS STAKED SHOWED..

2010-10-16T17:11:00.000+02:00

Hi dear readers :-) .. after some thoughts I decided to not show anymore real units staked 'cause I think is more discreet .. so blog go on to show traditional stake system balance, even if you know all is managed by Masaniello money managment system. So every pick will be considered to be 10/10 stake, cause as in last month, I' ll give prediction on match I'll be full convinced, so not to intend 10/10 a bet with large ammount of money bet.

Salve a tutti.. dopo un' attenta riflessione ritengo opportuno non mo strare piu' le unità reali puntate per questioni di discrezione, quindi il blog continuerà a mostare il tradizionale "stake system" da 0 a 10 , considerandolo pero' come indicativo puro e semplice della fiducia nella giocata e non del' ammontare delle cifre. Quindi tutte le mie partite avranno stake 10/10 proprio come da metà Settembre, perche' pienamente convinto di ogni pronostico fatto. Il mio bilancio personale continuerà ad essere gestito dal Masaniello come in passato.

GL
AWAKENGUARDIAN

17 OTTOBRE

2010-10-15T00:12:00.005+02:00

Lega Pro - 15:00

LUMEZZANE - COME - 1 @ 1,80 BWIN - LOST

It's nowadays news that Como 's players don't get wages paid since last July, so now reasons of bad period of Como are much more clear. Players were citicized in last weeks for bad willing and performing, and Como now is standing at last position of Lega Pro / A with 6 points and no win in last 6 matches. On the other side Lumezzane is one of the best team of the league, standing at second place (4-3-1 goals 7/4), and next week-end have a clear chance to get important 3 points at home against a poor Como delapted (hopefully) in motiviations and more of them waiting to leave (a good number of players are owned by other clubs ).

Brasile - 20:00

VITORIA - GREMIO PRUDENT - OVER 2,5 @ 1,85 EXPEKT - LOST

Vitoria is able to win this one, but odds are treaky, so i'm much more interested to take an over 2,5: Vitoria will take the field with 3 attackers looking for a victory after 5 consecutive matches lost, also a goal netted miss in last 4 ; and i don't think would be difficoult to stop this streak against very bad defence of Prudente (21 goals coceded in last 10 matches played / 28 in 14 away matches). Also Vitoria in last weeks had shown a bad shape backwards and both sides needs victory , so an over should save me ( I hope) from some surprises, considering that i can expect everything considering last Vitoria results. Homeside missing Egidio (def 23+1 goal), Thiago Martinelli (def 8), Ueliton (att 5) and Neto Coruja (mid 11) while hosts misssing Marcelo Oliveira (mid 26), Leonardo (def 16), Rodrigo Mancha (mid 20), Rafael Martins (att 9+1 goal) and Hugo (att 5).

16 OTTOBRE

2010-10-14T20:18:00.011+02:00

15:00 - Italia, Serie B

ATALANTA - ASCOLI - 1 (AH -1) @ 1,98 BET365 VOID

Ascoli will have great problems to put on the field a decent midfiled, infact Cristiano (mid 7+ 1 goal), Sommese (mid 9+2 goals), Pederzoli (mid 7), Giorgi (mid 7+2 goals), Pasqualini (mid 1) are all out, while other regular Moretti (mid 8+2 goals) is very doubtful cause yesterday had fever. Also out Gazzola (def 8+1 goal) and Romeo (att). Atalanta have important missing in Peluso (def 9), also Manfredini (def 3+1 goal) out, and other players witho no matches palyed till now as Gentili (def), Madonna (mid) and Ferreira Pinto (mid). Apart this important line-up consideration Ascoi have no win in last 5 matches played, and Atalanta have means to beat it at home, cause also is one the bet steam of Serie B, predicted clearly to fight for first positions.

16:00 - Inghilterra, League Two

STOCKPORT - BARNET - 1 (AH -0,25) @ 1,93 10BET + WON

In this match favours could go to homeside. Barnet is very bad away (0-1-4 goals 5/16) and even if will be recoverd Byrne (mid. 10+ 1 goal) and Southam (mid 10+ 1 goal), the list of missing players is still long. Respect last match missing Basey (def 2) and Kelly (att. 4), while Walsh (att 7+ 3 goals) loan is ended, still out Kabba (att 7+ 2 goals), Poole (mid 8+ 1 goals), Taylor (att 3), Dennehy (def 5), Leach (def 7) and McLeod. Stockport have no particular line-up problem, and at home is just missing a victory since beginning of the season (0-4-1 goals 5/9), so good chance to catch first. Asian line at 1/4 seems very good.

Buona la linea a 1/4 per lo Stockport. Il Barnet fuori casa sin qui davvero pessimo (0-1-4 goals 5/16) e anche se vengono recuperati Byrne (mid. 10+ 1 goal) and Southam (mid 10+ 1 goal), la lista degli indisponibili è ancora lunga. Rispetto all' ultima partita persi Basey (def 2) e Kelly (att. 4), mentre per Walsh (att 7+ 3 goals) è finito il prestito. inoltre fuori Kabba (att 7+ 2 goals), Poole (mid 8+ 1 goals), Taylor (att 3), Dennehy (def 5), Leach (def 7) e McLeod. Nessun problema particolare segnalato per i padroni di casa a cui manca giusto una vittoria casalinga in questa stagione.
20:30 - Uruguay

DANUBIO - DEFENSOR SPORTING - 1 @ 2,00 SPORTINGBET - LOST

I have some doubts on physical condition of Defensor squad, just having played in midweek in last 3 weeks. An important consideration is that next thursday Defensor will face important return round match of Copa Sudamericana agasint Independiente, but before will have play in championship against Danubio. Apart possibile fatigue as said, some key players are not at 100 % for sure in last days news : S. Suarez (mid 5), Ariosa (def 7), Silva (gk 7) and De Souza (mid. 6+ 3 goals). Silva and Ariosa could be recovered in time for saturday match. Don't know if coach will decide to rest some players , but Danubio however could take advantage from naturally physical downtrend of hosts, or better of attentions on next Copa Sudamericana clash. In championship both teams have similiar trend : Danubio (3-3-1) and Defensor (4-1-2). So at last I see no reason to bet against homeside.

Ho piu' di qualche dubbio sulla tenuta fisica degli ospiti che hanno giocato negli ultimi 3 mid-week consecutivi. Considero che il prossimo martedi si va in Argentina per sfidare l' Independiente e che alcuni key-players non sono al top della forma: S. Suarez (mid 5), Ariosa (def 7), Silva (gk 7) e De Souza (mid. 6+ 3 goals). A prescindere dalla decisione o meno dell' allenatore di far rifiatare o risparmiare qualcuno, l' "1" secco mi sembra una buona opzione per quanto detto sopra, tra le altre cose le 2 compagini hanno prestazioni in campionato abbastanza simili sin qui; Danubio (3-3-1) e Defensor (4-1-2), quindi non vedo motivi particolari per non provare questa bet.

13 OTTOBRE

2010-10-11T22:16:00.004+02:00

Brasile, Serie B - 00:30

CORITIBA - AMERICA RN - OVER 2,75 @ 1,87 PINNACLE +WON

I imagine this match with 2 or more goals: Coritiba is flyin' high and need other important points towards promotion. This season 9 times on 13 scored 2 goals at least per home match, and in last weeks attack was in very good shape. At home 13 goals done in last 5 home rounds. America Rn is clearly one level below Coritiba , but also needs absolutely points to survive in Serie B, cause standing 6 points below safe zone. Coritiba could take advantage from delepted defence of hosts. Infact Robson (def 10), Adalberto (def 15+ 2 goals), Berg (def 14), Cleber (def. 11), Cafu (def 4) and Gilberto (def 2) are all out as Rafael Parana (mid 1), Washington (mid 6+ 1 goal) and Fabio Neves (mid 17+2 goals). Coritiba miss Cleiton (def. 15+2 goals) and an over results could be a good bet for this match.